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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. How unusual is it for the highest tornado threat to line up with the highest flash flood threat?
  2. And 15% tor. Kind shocked TBH. It's been a while since the last one in the region I think.
  3. Thanks, but snow trophies melt, and I lost the one from last year. How will I be able to impress the hot chicks without the trophies to prove my forecasting prowess?
  4. And you're checking to see if all the balls are fully inflated.
  5. Seems awfully wedgy this morning for severe. But there's time to clear out a bit I suppose.
  6. The 18z Nam dewpoint is running 10 degrees above actuals for this afternoon in the triad
  7. Kinda strange how to our south is looking so much better. Goes to show what a dynamic system can do
  8. Below freezing in the middle of the day too in the heaviest snow axis. Are there any analogs for this?
  9. Pretty much the worst possible track for Beira, a city of 500k.
  10. Right, I had those numbers flipped. It was an auto-generated screen name generated by Runescape from a long time ago, I used it for a lot of accounts. I moved to NC this fall. I had been going to school in Newport News and I lived in Chantilly 3 years ago. I nearly didn't enter this year because I no longer lived in the region, but someone tagged me, since I won last year.
  11. Also Stormpc would overtake me with any amount at DCA
  12. It seems historically I am more likely than not to hold on for the win, but my margin for error is narrow. Odds of at least .1" of snow in the second half of March/April (past 30 years): DCA (April): 23% (6.6%) IAD: 51% (13%) BWI: 43% (10%) RIC: 23% (10%) Odds of at least 1" of snowfall DCA: 13% IAD: 40% BWI: 20% RIC: 10%
  13. Really strange how tightly clustered the ensembles are. Kinda makes me suspicious.
  14. A week out trends are mostly meaningless, although for the next 3ish days I'd like to keep it South. We just might beat Boston this winter.
  15. According to somone on Reddit, this is 4" short of the daily record
  16. I'm not too enthusiastic, seeing as we really have to thread the needle to make this work. I suppose that's usually the case in the South though.
  17. Greensboro: 13 (1966) Asheboro: 17 (1994) RDU:17 (1985) Fayetville: 17 (1889) (Curiously, in February)
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