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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Coming down pretty good in Greensboro, despite light radar returns
  2. olafminesaw
    Wetbulb temp of 35 in Greensboro. Just waiting for the precip to arrive
  3. olafminesaw
    I think the perception about Greensboro is drive by the fact that we do tend to cash in to some degree on most events effecting this board and tend to do well when Raleigh flips to rain. However, a lot of times, we end up stuck on the fringes, whether it's southern VA that gets the jackpot, or Fayetville.
  4. olafminesaw
    Should start to see development between 4-5 up your way. But lots of Virga until the atmosphere gets saturated
  5. olafminesaw
    Are we quite sure it's not an opening into the underworld?
  6. olafminesaw
    Anyone who gets 2"+ is going to see some pretty decent drifts with gusts in the mid 30s
  7. olafminesaw
    As someone said a few pages back, models have no idea what the qpf distribution is going to play out. Just gotta watch where the best envelope and wait for now casting. I just wish this wasn't in the middle of the night
  8. olafminesaw
  9. olafminesaw
    Lol, the 10:1 weenie map has 40" over my house for the full run
  10. olafminesaw
  11. olafminesaw
    I don't know whether to feel nervous or confident about the fact that most models have consistently put the best banding over the triad.
  12. olafminesaw
    Yep, it's some love from the ULL, with some enhancement from the jet as the trough goes negative. The mid-Atlantic forum is bemoaning the fact that all the best dynamics for this feature are down here, so that's always a good sign
  13. olafminesaw
    RGEM is the RDPS (confusing I know)
  14. olafminesaw
    The heavier bands could put down snow pretty quick. Unfortunately the window is small for accumulating snow. Also have to battle surface temps at onset
  15. olafminesaw
    I know it's frustrating to watch the coastal portion of the storm slip away, but honestly, not a bad look for a 1-3" of fluff for most of the Piedmont. Even with a late phase, the backside potential is decent
  16. olafminesaw
    Eh, getting into the range where that's no longer true. The higher resolution of the OP serves our purposes better
  17. olafminesaw
    The NYC and NE subs must be melting down right about now
  18. olafminesaw
    This has been a really persistent feature, particularly on the globals. As I mentioned a page or two ago, there could be enhancement from a jet streak, which often over-performs Obviously that value is crazy, but I could see someone getting 3-5" somewhere in the Piedmont, but fairly localized
  19. olafminesaw
  20. olafminesaw
    So close, but phases too late. Even with the south trend yesterday, the phase hasn't worked out for us on really any of the models (except the NAM). Have to depend on banding away from the main LP to get the job done. One reason for the NAM's depiction (I believe, I'm a little out of my depth here) is enhancement due to the placement and strength of a jet streak
  21. olafminesaw
    Anyone have the 6z Euro? Looks decent at H5
  22. olafminesaw
    I wouldn't shocked to see a double maxima, one over the western Piedmont, where banding develops and where temps are better intially. Over the eastern Piedmont could stay pretty dry waiting for the transfer and rates will have a hard time overcoming temps of 34-36 initially. And of course closer to the coast will fair better, with 3"+ for NE NC
  23. olafminesaw
  24. olafminesaw
    Better still
  25. olafminesaw
    RGEM is meh. Close to something decent though
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