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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Yeah, it's definitely an odd one to track for this reason (no clear trends overall). The 12z suite will hopefully give us a clearer picture
  2. olafminesaw
    I think this is a reasonable look at what will happen, although for most, I'd be hesitant to go all in on 3"+. 1-3" seems reasonable for Greensboro, and I'd lean more towards the low end
  3. olafminesaw
    Looks pretty similar to the NAM.
  4. olafminesaw
    I would wait to see what kind of trend there is on the EPS before bemoaning surpression. Remember, we're still 6 days out.
  5. olafminesaw
    There's a range of temps at which dendrites grow (which create very high ratio snows). Ideally you want the area of greatest lift, to fall within this zone to get dendrites. On tropical tidbits, the orange bars on the left tell you how much lift there is at that level.
  6. olafminesaw
    I don't have any expectations so it's kinda fun. It's like my team's down 2 touchdowns with a minute left. Might as well see what happens
  7. olafminesaw
    The great lakes low kills it, but the trough is a little deeper This time around, so there's that
  8. olafminesaw
    Finally, a mythical unicorn storm like the unicorn storms of old. I would say probably just due to the tendency of the Euro to spin up deep lows out of nowhere. The trough is digging like crazy, the only way this thing works:
  9. olafminesaw
    It got suppressed, which isn't such a bad thing, but not an especially cold airmass.
  10. olafminesaw
    Whats that old reliable wives tail again? 10 days from thunder in the winter means more thunder? Seems about right.
  11. olafminesaw
    Stupid wave killing mountains.
  12. olafminesaw
    It appears to be making progress. Almost to Greensboro.
  13. olafminesaw
    Yeah, and there's a chance it won't push north lessening the severe threat. Kinda interesting how the precip is back-building along the front
  14. olafminesaw
    No more drought is the "new normal".Yee
  15. olafminesaw
    The 6z models backed off a bit on rain totals. 2-4" has been a good forecast for a day or two now and still seems reasonable, although I wouldn't be surprised to see 6"+ somewhere
  16. olafminesaw
    7qLDBye.mp4
  17. olafminesaw
    Hey, a satisfying heavy rain event is better than a disappointing snow bust in my book.
  18. olafminesaw
    The +AO is the gift that keeps on giving, the whole winter through.
  19. olafminesaw
    Someone's getting blasted, as of now, we're in the cross hairs.
  20. olafminesaw
    The saddest of mangled flakes mixing in South Greensboro
  21. olafminesaw
    Maybe we'll see a flake or two in the Triad. If only precip arrived a few hours earlier...
  22. olafminesaw
    '05-06 was just a trace.
  23. olafminesaw
    13% of winter's since 1920 in Greensboro have featured less than an inch of snow. I think we'll get there, but at this point I would be happy with anything at all.
  24. olafminesaw
    This winter has made me excited for the line of heavy rain to come through tommorow night. That's how much it's sucked.
  25. olafminesaw
    It's fascinating, Wikipedia says they used to get ocassional lake effect snow (once per decade or so) but since the lake's disapearance in 1965, they have not received any snowfall
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