olafminesaw
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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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Does anyone have the 6z CMC ? Can't remember if it's in range yet or not, but not easily found with a Google search
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I feel like it has a bias for strong phased storms that track south of Guidance, which happens to be exactly what we need
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Y'all undersold the Euro, that thing was nearly a monster.
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Better ridging on the GFS, just speeds up even more and gets out way in front of it. Just need it to slow down.
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You willed it into existence! Appears to be running now
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That's tracking snow in the south for ya. It's more about the journey and the friends we make along the way. Past disappointment is what keeps us invested in future disappointment
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Not to mention 150 pages in the storm threads!
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Whale whale whale
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Good signal on CMC ENS
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UKMET ensembles much stronger ridging than the GEFS
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https://x.com/ECMWF/status/1889742587109445760 Love how all the comments are Turkish weather weenies, apparently there is quite a blast of arctic air coming their way
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UKMET was about to be good at the end of it's run
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GEFS seems to generally be in lockstep with the GFS, but definitely a bit south/ colder
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The GFS is much faster, not allowing the cold air to get established. It's all about timing
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Gets squashed Louisiana and Texas win again.
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A thing of beauty that run is, crushes the Carolinas and N Georgia
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Not hung up on specifics, but I don't love seeing the GFS back away from a strong HP. Been a struggle all season to get good timing of all the pieces.
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Inconclusive indicies related to those periods, not really what I would expect. Could be obscured in the period by a short period of chance on the indicies, which is not reflected in February's average. I also wonder how rare it is to get +PNA, -NAO, -AO in a la Nina year. We probably don't have a very good analog pattern. 2009 AO -, PNA -, NAO neutral 1996 AO neutral , PNA -, NAO neutral 1989 AO +, PNA -, NAO positive
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Does anyone have any examples of big snow storms in late February in a LA Nina year?
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Decent icing in Stokesdale. More significant ice higher up in the trees, probably as much as .25
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You know what, that was a bit much, removed it
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Brick couldn't quite reel in the brick storm to everyone's satisfaction, this one is all Barney, work your magic anthropomorphized dinosaur
