olafminesaw
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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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Yeah, this is definitely a sleet sounding
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When we can't help but root for an ice storm, because it's all we've got:
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Although, it has actually overdone the wedge at times, with this past ice storm. It had us in the mid-20s during the heavy precip, I believe
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Meanwhile, all of texas is covered in winter storm watch/warning or advisory. Salt in wound
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Could be a bit of a re-freeze tonight
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Slug of heavier precip incoming. Looks like it may contain some sleet or such.
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Pretty significant changes
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Yeah, I mean, for the Triad every half degree is going to account, especially as the precip is going to be pretty heavy. At 31 degrees, I don't see more than .1-.2" accreation. At 29 I could see .3-.4"
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Interestingly, if anything the HRRR has backed off somewhat the past couple runs on how cold it gets. Minor differences, but now it seems to hold temps pretty steady throughout the night, instead of dropping further.
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You can see precise temp (.1 degree increments readings here for different mesonet sites :https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/current.php?station=GSO&network=NC_ASOS
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Yeah, it's a huge difference between 32 and 30 and between 30 and 28. At 28, everything will freeze solid.
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Question, does 32 count as a sub-freezing high?
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This may genuinely be the most miserable 3 day stretch of weather I've experienced. At this point I'm embracing it's extreme suckyness. This kind of pattern only comes around every 5 years or so after all!
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Light glaze on trees, some residual sleet on elevated surfaces and mulch, roads are just fine in Greensboro (including overpasses)
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I've been burned by the HRRR too many times, but it's has a much deeper cold pool
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RGEM runs cold but....
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Probably too cold, but I could definitely see a decent glaze on trees happening early Saturday
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Still the slowest out of all the major models
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ICON straight up doesn't make sense. A strong low low passing just to our north, and temps never rise above 25 for many?
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What happened with this weekend's system is notable, in that it did make significant steps colder. Keep in mind the significant shifts that have taken place within 3 days. Doesn't mean this one will turn out moving towards wintry, but an apps runner isn't set in stone, and even if it is impacts before flipping to rain could be significant. I've experienced all frozen storms with a low tracking to my west before (this was in virginia, so a little easier, but still...)
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Seems the ICON likes to go a little too extreme with CAD. A bias to look for in the future. It's really backed off on the weekend, and now it's showing this madness
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Seems reasonable for threat zone. Also uhh....yeah. I think virginia beach is getting, well... you know.
