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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Our last look at the sun for a while too. A persistent wedge is the worst kind of weather, especially in December
  2. olafminesaw
    I would imagine a -NAO/-PNA would work out a lot better in January. Hopefully moving the PNA closer to neutral by then anyhow
  3. olafminesaw
    Generally the kind of look to hope for at this range. Of course, we have about 5 days of waiting before we can get much better an idea of what will happen
  4. olafminesaw
    It's like a southern stream clipper. Really odd.
  5. olafminesaw
  6. olafminesaw
    *for entertainment purposes only*
  7. olafminesaw
    Already a nasty looking warned cell in central Louisiana
  8. olafminesaw
    BWI: 8.7" IAD: 9.9" DCA: 6.4" RIC: 6.3" SBY: 5.8"
  9. olafminesaw
    Hmmm
  10. olafminesaw
    Just a casual 971 mb low...
  11. olafminesaw
    Even with the inevitable movement of the band north (and again back south), you should get another 12-18" through Sunday
  12. olafminesaw
    That's wild. Truth stranger than fiction. I can picture the trailer for: Sharknado 14, lake effect....
  13. olafminesaw
    If the HRRR is to be believed, you will double that by the end of the storm
  14. olafminesaw
    Seems based on the GEFS & EPS, the pattern flips to torch right around the 1st of December. Right on schedule!
  15. olafminesaw
    Pretty impressive low at GSO of 24. It was 27 at 4:30 and 4:45 and dropped 3 degrees and back up in those 15 minutes. Noticeable cold pockets north of the airport as well on my way to work this morning, about 3-4 degrees colder than near the airport.
  16. olafminesaw
    Nearly 6" of QPF!
  17. olafminesaw
    Tornado watch tomorrow perhaps
  18. olafminesaw
    I feel like this is probably not quite right...
  19. olafminesaw
    The gulf stream isn't really any warmer than the water Nicole is currently traversing. The warmest waters it will cross will be just before reaching the Bahamas
  20. olafminesaw
    I kept wondering why the advisory times are one hour earlier, took me forever to figure out why... Hurricanes after fall back are not the norm apparently
  21. olafminesaw
    The 12zHAFS nailed the evolution today if you flip through the IR frames. Like, shocking really. Gets convection ramping up again around midnight
  22. olafminesaw
    Recon finds a pressure of 980 mb or so and supports winds of 55-60 kts
  23. olafminesaw
    45 kt surface winds recorded 200 miles or so West of the center (from the upper level recon flight), this thing is really starting to expand
  24. olafminesaw
    Indeed, looks pretty darn good all of a sudden
  25. olafminesaw
    It seems like regardless of how much the pressure drops, it's maxing out between 60-75 mph. Any pressure drops below 980 are primarily expanding the wind field
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