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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    A mesovortex that got slinghshotted across the eye (I'm sure that's not the correct term)? Haven't seen anything like it
  2. olafminesaw
    What's our vector Victor?
  3. olafminesaw
    When it transitions to subtropical, will it continue to contribute towards ACE?
  4. olafminesaw
  5. olafminesaw
    Increasingly, satellite seems to be indicating an EWRC is underway. Will be interesting to to see what recon shows
  6. olafminesaw
    Looks like a cat 3 for sure
  7. olafminesaw
    There should be a mercy rule for these kind of systems
  8. olafminesaw
  9. olafminesaw
    Yep, probably not very likely, I feel like it's pretty unusual this time of year.
  10. olafminesaw
    That ULL definitely opens the door for some wokiness to happen. And ULLs are notoriously hard to forecast
  11. olafminesaw
    The GEFS has been quite consistent/reliable thus far
  12. olafminesaw
    People forget how even when the pattern favors a strong Atlantic ridge, storms that come out of the MDR Recurve OTS like 80% of the time, especially strong storms. All it takes is a slight relaxation of the high.
  13. olafminesaw
    Sam's inner core organization is a little slower than expected this morning. May support a slight adjustment south.
  14. olafminesaw
    Some strong to severe storms this evening
  15. olafminesaw
    Anything beyond this is speculation, but... intriguing nonetheless
  16. olafminesaw
    Hmm
  17. olafminesaw
    95L is trying to be the longest surviving cherry ever
  18. olafminesaw
    First wedge of the year! (Yay) Easier to scour out this time of year, but still. Wouldn't be surprised to see temps stay in the mid 70s today in the Triad
  19. olafminesaw
    No thanks What a sad system
  20. olafminesaw
    Seems typically with a large, tilted, fast moving system you tend to see more wind field expansion than an increase in max winds. But I suppose possible the eyewall could reorganize somewhat
  21. olafminesaw
    *sad cricket noises* Anyway, with the MCS that moved through, I doubt we will hit our forecast high of 86 in the triad. Muggy muggy though
  22. olafminesaw
    125 115 940 Cocodrie
  23. olafminesaw
    Hilly terrain, up to about 1000 ft, should halt intensification somewhat for at least a few hours. But hard to believe it will have much of an impact long term
  24. olafminesaw
    The GFS had been pumping out lots of gulf systems a couple days back as well. The signal is there
  25. olafminesaw
    GFS at 33 a tou ch east of 18z. heading for a landfall just east of LI i think
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