Jump to content

olafminesaw

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,303

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Can't afford to see much more amplification than what the GFS depicts. Which is why the Euro is good news. The only other model in the GFS camp is the icon, so I think the full range of outcomes is still on the table
  2. olafminesaw
  3. olafminesaw
    And this is the part of the show where I get overly invested...
  4. olafminesaw
    The Euro is almost more frontal, which we don't so much like, if we're hoping for big totals.
  5. olafminesaw
    Gotta love how cold that run is for most of central NC. What a bizarre storm track though. Seems like small changes could yield wildly different results
  6. olafminesaw
    It's really encouraging to see multiple rolls of the dice. I don't think we can put much weight on any one of these modeled storm scenarios yet, but I can't help feeling like something will inevitably shake out in our favor
  7. olafminesaw
    Money
  8. olafminesaw
    Close, but no cigar
  9. olafminesaw
    Yeah, I mean, fair's fair. Gotta bring balance to the force, or whatever
  10. olafminesaw
    Right where we want it
  11. olafminesaw
    Realistically in that scenario the triad and SE would be at least half sleet
  12. olafminesaw
    It seems there's some data issues with the GFS, but showing on the old fashioned NWS site. Wow
  13. olafminesaw
    I'd be shocked if y'all didn't get any more snow. But I'll take my annual fifteen minutes of Fame
  14. olafminesaw
    Not much cold air to speak of though
  15. olafminesaw
    Seems the only kind of snow we can get these past few years is 5:1 patchy stuff
  16. olafminesaw
    Seems we'll be in a bit of a dry slot for the next couple hours in the Triad, still, should get several good hours of snow
  17. olafminesaw
    Great sun angle though!
  18. olafminesaw
    Could end up a lot like the Feb 2020 "storm" (in the Triad)
  19. olafminesaw
    Yep, lol
  20. olafminesaw
    I myself enjoy the snow maps, but...not very helpful other than for trends
  21. olafminesaw
    Brutal cutoff. 50 more miles and we're in business
  22. olafminesaw
    NAM a tick back south again and quite amped
  23. olafminesaw
    If you average the GFS, NAM, RGEM and Euro at 18z you end up with something decent, FWIW. Doesn't mean that we won't see models adjust North more, but with the current pattern, I wouldn't necessarily count on it
  24. olafminesaw
    Yeah, and temps above freezing for the duration (outside any particular heavy rates.). Seems like relying on rates fails about twice as often as it succeeds, at least in the piedmont. Also, I'm not yet buying the amped up version the GFS is selling, which is our best shot at significant accumulation. The 18z GFS illustrates how an amped storm fails,by climbing too far North. It's a real tightrope. I suspect the hires NAM Is closest to how it plays out, but who knows?
  25. olafminesaw
    Seems someone somewhere will get something frozen.
×
×
  • Create New...