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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    I also feel like the constant stream of systems prevents the blocking from ever progressing far enough East. Every low either gets squashed by the HP to the West or pulled north by the system ahead of it.
  2. olafminesaw
    Any snow before Christmas is bonus snow. Let's wait until then and see how the pattern shakes out, once the Arctic air has been established. If we continue to get pushes of cold air, we're bound to score eventually (even if we have to wait until mid January)
  3. olafminesaw
    Still a long shot on the table for the upcoming weekend
  4. olafminesaw
    Our next system to watch is this coming weekend. Looks suppressed for now, but definitely worth keeping an eye on:
  5. olafminesaw
    Don't know if I've ever seen an ensemble run this anomalous at this range
  6. olafminesaw
    Meh. It was probably never going to be our storm, at least if you wanted any snow. The 18z Euro has a stronger HP though, so we shall see if a bit of an ice storm can still develop
  7. olafminesaw
    Merry Christmas
  8. olafminesaw
    I've noticed the GFS had been unrealistically bombing out coastal storms lately. Seems like a 970mb low deepening that quickly is just a tad unrealistic. A weaker storm would mean rain for the coastal plain
  9. olafminesaw
    Just a little different
  10. olafminesaw
    Perhaps, flooding rains before the cold moves in (pretty decent amounts for a smoothed mean)
  11. olafminesaw
    Nearly the entire eastern half of the US has cloud cover. Seems unusual to me.
  12. olafminesaw
    Our last look at the sun for a while too. A persistent wedge is the worst kind of weather, especially in December
  13. olafminesaw
    I would imagine a -NAO/-PNA would work out a lot better in January. Hopefully moving the PNA closer to neutral by then anyhow
  14. olafminesaw
    Generally the kind of look to hope for at this range. Of course, we have about 5 days of waiting before we can get much better an idea of what will happen
  15. olafminesaw
    It's like a southern stream clipper. Really odd.
  16. olafminesaw
  17. olafminesaw
    *for entertainment purposes only*
  18. olafminesaw
    Already a nasty looking warned cell in central Louisiana
  19. olafminesaw
    BWI: 8.7" IAD: 9.9" DCA: 6.4" RIC: 6.3" SBY: 5.8"
  20. olafminesaw
    Hmmm
  21. olafminesaw
    Just a casual 971 mb low...
  22. olafminesaw
    Even with the inevitable movement of the band north (and again back south), you should get another 12-18" through Sunday
  23. olafminesaw
    That's wild. Truth stranger than fiction. I can picture the trailer for: Sharknado 14, lake effect....
  24. olafminesaw
    If the HRRR is to be believed, you will double that by the end of the storm
  25. olafminesaw
    Seems based on the GEFS & EPS, the pattern flips to torch right around the 1st of December. Right on schedule!
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