Jump to content

olafminesaw

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,739

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    The first time we get NAMed, seems like a reasonable cutoff
  2. olafminesaw
    The Euro is a much weaker/less dynamic system. If it is correct about the strength of the system, then absolutely. but if the GFS played out as depicted, central NC would be snow. I guess the problem we run into, is somewhere in between probably wouldn't cut it, at least east of 85.
  3. olafminesaw
    I think the Mid-Atlantic forum would have to be melted down and sold for scrap if that happened and they got left out
  4. olafminesaw
    Yep. Getting out of Powerball into scratch-off territory. Matching three numbers instead of 8
  5. olafminesaw
    Not the worst
  6. olafminesaw
    Needless to say, a more progressive look than the 12z GFS, with that track, is a near certainty
  7. olafminesaw
    And the GFS takes that look and dials it up to 11. What a run. Gosh, this is so sensitive to small changes, I hate tracking things like this
  8. olafminesaw
    Even with the exotic look and perfect thread the needle track...we still get 90% rain, followed by a little non accumulating snow showers.
  9. olafminesaw
    Just gotta get that happy medium...
  10. olafminesaw
    Mt Washington getting spicy:
  11. olafminesaw
    If you want a taste of winter, just head on up to Mt Washington!
  12. olafminesaw
    There's a lot of us
  13. olafminesaw
    January finished 6.4 degrees above average in January, the warmest since 2006. Honestly this is pretty surprising, considering we didn't have many particularly warm days, and plenty of fairly chilly ones. Raleigh finished 8.2 degrees above average, the warmest since 1950, and the 7th warmest in 136 years of records!
  14. olafminesaw
    With the way models have trended, the area to look for a surprise would be east of 95/south of rocky mount, to near the coast. Would require colder air than modeled, but I think we've seen that so far.Dry air will likely win out for the Piedmont
  15. olafminesaw
    Alright. Which one of you did this?
  16. olafminesaw
    So...six more weeks of 35 and rain!
  17. olafminesaw
    Cold rain sounding to add to the depression pile. So close, but so far
  18. olafminesaw
    So, I've seen the headlines about record cold in China. To what extent does Arctic air being dumped on the other side of the globe limit the potential for a cold air mass in NA? And is this driven/predicted by -PNA/ENSO, or other indices?
  19. olafminesaw
  20. olafminesaw
    12z cams:
  21. olafminesaw
    Hey, look, the perfect storm track! And....cold rain
  22. olafminesaw
    I think there's a chance of a little back end snow with the Friday system. A long shot perhaps, but this is one of those cases where the coastal plain is just as likely (or even more likely) to see flakes as the Piedmont. Actually the storm track is pretty ideal, the cold just arrives too late. So, some positive trends could make things a little interesting. Need to root for the development of a stronger LP as it tracks across the gulf states. Yes I'm desperate
  23. olafminesaw
    Holy cow.
  24. olafminesaw
    Eric Webb mentioned this one last night. https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1619926751924326403?s=20&t=qh-NGg8FezTFOanly9T9rg
  25. olafminesaw
    Yeah...the issue with the runs so far this morning is the storm has become more progressive, which doesn't allow the cold to move into place. No shocker really
×
×
  • Create New...