olafminesaw
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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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Winter 2026-2027 Seasonal Outlook
olafminesaw replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
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Groundbreaking stuff https://jabde.com/2026/07/07/2026-2027-super-el-nino-climate-modelling/
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Winter 2026-2027 Seasonal Outlook
olafminesaw replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
It's gonna be 40 and rainy a lot this winter I fear. -
ERC #3 very much under way. Any idea what the record is for most ERCs? Gotta think four would be near impossible
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The unstable air advected Eastward and the cap was broken. Don't see that too often around here, much more common in the plains
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Dewpoint hit 77 at the airport, highest since 2021
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Even with sun the atmosphere has stabilized considerably over central NC
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Wow! That has to be near a record max forecast for them at a 3 day lead. Some question marks around intensity for the moment though as it appears to be starting an ERC
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Latest HRRR is much more promising FWIW probably more run of the mill borderline severe but something
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The HRRR/hires NAM have basically no convection after the MCS rolls through outside of far Eastern NC. It's not looking good TBH
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Structure of the year award goes to Genevieve
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HRRR sounding in the triad Tuesday evening. I do kinda wonder if upper level wildfire smoke will tamp down the potential somewhat
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Third longest streak in July of below 75 temp
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Wow! With the rain this morning, just surpassed the July average at GSO, total MTD 4.93"
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A little easier to read
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Over an inch of rain and counting!
