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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. I've noticed the GFS had been unrealistically bombing out coastal storms lately. Seems like a 970mb low deepening that quickly is just a tad unrealistic. A weaker storm would mean rain for the coastal plain
  2. Perhaps, flooding rains before the cold moves in (pretty decent amounts for a smoothed mean)
  3. Nearly the entire eastern half of the US has cloud cover. Seems unusual to me.
  4. Our last look at the sun for a while too. A persistent wedge is the worst kind of weather, especially in December
  5. I would imagine a -NAO/-PNA would work out a lot better in January. Hopefully moving the PNA closer to neutral by then anyhow
  6. Generally the kind of look to hope for at this range. Of course, we have about 5 days of waiting before we can get much better an idea of what will happen
  7. BWI: 8.7" IAD: 9.9" DCA: 6.4" RIC: 6.3" SBY: 5.8"
  8. Even with the inevitable movement of the band north (and again back south), you should get another 12-18" through Sunday
  9. That's wild. Truth stranger than fiction. I can picture the trailer for: Sharknado 14, lake effect....
  10. If the HRRR is to be believed, you will double that by the end of the storm
  11. Seems based on the GEFS & EPS, the pattern flips to torch right around the 1st of December. Right on schedule!
  12. Pretty impressive low at GSO of 24. It was 27 at 4:30 and 4:45 and dropped 3 degrees and back up in those 15 minutes. Noticeable cold pockets north of the airport as well on my way to work this morning, about 3-4 degrees colder than near the airport.
  13. I feel like this is probably not quite right...
  14. The gulf stream isn't really any warmer than the water Nicole is currently traversing. The warmest waters it will cross will be just before reaching the Bahamas
  15. I kept wondering why the advisory times are one hour earlier, took me forever to figure out why... Hurricanes after fall back are not the norm apparently
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