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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
  2. olafminesaw
    And the GFS has folded like a house of cards
  3. olafminesaw
    The GFS is so bad it has quite literally been replaced by AI
  4. olafminesaw
  5. olafminesaw
    Depending on the track, shear could be a net neutral, even allowing for strengthening through landfall as the shear vector is aligned with the storms track if it tracks more to the East/faster.
  6. olafminesaw
  7. olafminesaw
  8. olafminesaw
    NBM for the next week. I'm getting de ja vu
  9. olafminesaw
  10. olafminesaw
  11. olafminesaw
    0.0" so far and less than .25" forecast for the next seven days
  12. olafminesaw
    Dang Nola. Not many major hurricanes cross the date line
  13. olafminesaw
  14. olafminesaw
    Since operational intensity was borderline and it's not really a sampling issue, I don't really see how they would bother. I mean, that's not overwhelming data for reanalysis to circumvent the operational intensity, IMO. Basically, after further review, the ruling on the field stands is the most likely verdict
  15. olafminesaw
    National blend of models forecast for the next week
  16. olafminesaw
    Womp womp
  17. olafminesaw
  18. olafminesaw
    El nino already starting to push an active southern jet stream down your way over the next couple weeks.
  19. olafminesaw
  20. olafminesaw
  21. olafminesaw
    One rather strange thing about Polo is despite multiple ERCs/structural changes it remains a relatively compact hurricane. In fact the code has remained roughly the same size throughout its life
  22. olafminesaw
    Does this count as an excusal slip for me to leave work early?
  23. olafminesaw
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  25. olafminesaw
    Should have recon data in an hour or so, NOAA2 took off a little while ago
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