Jump to content

olafminesaw

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,223

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Thanks! Gets confusing to the public when maybe an area under a winter storm warning could get more ice than an ice storm warning, when ice is the more serious impact to prepare for
  2. olafminesaw
    How do they decide between winter storm warning and ice storm warning? If ice storm criteria is met it will always be ice storm warning?
  3. olafminesaw
    Is it just me or has the HRRR been performing quite poorly lately? I guess it should do well with showing the CAD evolution regardless of exact details
  4. olafminesaw
    Yeah pretty much, at the surface anyway. Stronger CAD despite not really jumping south at all
  5. olafminesaw
    Sleet bomb is back on the menu boys and girls
  6. olafminesaw
    Through 39 hrs, noticeably south with the push of moisture on the GFS
  7. olafminesaw
    Seemingly aligning with the rest of guidance WRT the track
  8. olafminesaw
  9. olafminesaw
    Found these maps that pretty much align with my thinking right now.
  10. olafminesaw
  11. olafminesaw
  12. olafminesaw
    Is it also fair to say it's handling of the CAD also makes it's handling of the surface low track suspect as well?
  13. olafminesaw
    It's all about speeding up the onset in order to get snow south of the border. South shifts won't really help if onset is delayed
  14. olafminesaw
    Yeah heavy rain would drop off the trees to some degree even if temps are at 25. Bands of heavy rain are much preferred to steady drizzle
  15. olafminesaw
  16. olafminesaw
    We are getting 2" of precip despite the Appalachian blocking the moisture feed (depicted clearly on models) north GA/AL is getting 3-4"+ of QPF
  17. olafminesaw
    The HP was a bit weaker, but the coastal transfer occured further so kind of a wash
  18. olafminesaw
    Comes north slightly in the end, but not much different than 6z
  19. olafminesaw
    A bit delayed a bit more strung out. No major changes through 54
  20. olafminesaw
    Slightly south with a stronger HP
  21. olafminesaw
    Same for the RGEM. It does have a good period of sleet but heavy ZR with temps in the low to mid 20s
  22. olafminesaw
  23. olafminesaw
    That warm nose is incredible given the precip hasn't even arrived yet
  24. olafminesaw
    Not much difference overall I guess but if we wanted to trend towards a stronger wedge it moved in the right direction
  25. olafminesaw
    Diabolical sounding for Raleigh
×
×
  • Create New...