olafminesaw
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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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Yep, ice storm for northern NC, some snow along the NC border
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Some improvements on 6z GFS through 135, colder, but still quite fast relative to consensus
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The morning GFS run wasn't far off from something like that, just needs to slow down and phase
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That is a high impact event all the way up the eastern seaboard
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ICON is cooking. Mixed precip in North Central Mississippi
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Does anyone have the 6z CMC ? Can't remember if it's in range yet or not, but not easily found with a Google search
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I feel like it has a bias for strong phased storms that track south of Guidance, which happens to be exactly what we need
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Y'all undersold the Euro, that thing was nearly a monster.
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Better ridging on the GFS, just speeds up even more and gets out way in front of it. Just need it to slow down.
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You willed it into existence! Appears to be running now
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That's tracking snow in the south for ya. It's more about the journey and the friends we make along the way. Past disappointment is what keeps us invested in future disappointment
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Not to mention 150 pages in the storm threads!
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Whale whale whale
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Good signal on CMC ENS
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UKMET ensembles much stronger ridging than the GEFS
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https://x.com/ECMWF/status/1889742587109445760 Love how all the comments are Turkish weather weenies, apparently there is quite a blast of arctic air coming their way
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UKMET was about to be good at the end of it's run
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GEFS seems to generally be in lockstep with the GFS, but definitely a bit south/ colder
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The GFS is much faster, not allowing the cold air to get established. It's all about timing
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Gets squashed Louisiana and Texas win again.
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A thing of beauty that run is, crushes the Carolinas and N Georgia
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Not hung up on specifics, but I don't love seeing the GFS back away from a strong HP. Been a struggle all season to get good timing of all the pieces.
