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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. What a beaut! Looking a bit annular. Looks stronger than 105 mph...
  2. Huge corrections from all models. Now many models have it slowing down prior to landfall which may give it an opportunity to go through ERC before landfall
  3. At GSO we are at 82 hours and counting with a dew point below 60. That is the 7th longest streak all time for the month of August.
  4. Already seeing gusts of 50-65 mph across the island
  5. Not a nice fresh delicious cinnamon roll. The one that's been sitting in the case at Panera all morning, growing steadily more stale.
  6. Fair enough. I feel like we've been spoiled by a lot of RI hurricanes lately
  7. Looks like it took a big gulp of dry air
  8. Bermuda is a tiny target to hit. It fits nearly within the DC beltway with room to spare. Bermuda has had a number of brushes with major hurricanes and a handful of direct hits. But never a cat 4 plus. With SSTs being way above normal, it is not outside the realm of possibility for Bermuda to have a strike from a cat 4.
  9. Pretty neat graphic, you can watch an animation of the obs across the island as the storm approaches https://www.weather.bm/tools/graphics.asp?name=ISLAND_AWOS&user=
  10. Yesterday's high of 73 is the coolest since May 15th! This morning felt refreshing as well
  11. Evident eye on radar. Puerto Rico getting pounded with rain
  12. That's 20+" of rain for Bermuda over the next few days, primarily from a PRE (Predecessor Rain Event).
  13. It appears Debby did cool waters somewhat significantly right at the coast, but should recover quickly
  14. Keep it in your pants East coast!... sometimes I think they do this on purpose
  15. I am guessing rain will be on the low side of forecast in the triad. Many approaching 3", but if the HRRR is to be believed, heavier rain bands will be more hit or miss from here on out. Still many hours to go. On the other hand wind way over performed. The NWS was calling for gusts under 30 mph, but GSO has reported 5 out of the last 6 hours with gusts over 40mph and one gust to 47
  16. For the triad a dry slot approaches. Remains to be seen how much it fills in.
  17. Some homes in that area but not a heavily populated area. May have been a direct hit on the solar farm though. (Didn't realize we had anything at that scale in NC)
  18. It's really picked up speed. At this rate she will make landfall by late afternoon/early evening
  19. Wow, up to 60mph, I wasn't expecting that at all after the NHC reduced landfall strength to 50mph
  20. Seems to be trending West with the track after landfall. May be a big event for upslope areas especially near the VA border
  21. Yeah I mean think of the most extreme example, Harvey. Obviously a totally different situation, but most of the extreme rainfall fell after if dropped to a weak TS/TD. I remember reading somewhere that the majority of fresh water flooding from TCs comes from TSs and TDs
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