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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Vs 6z. Differences mostly noise I think
  2. olafminesaw
    My understanding is ratios over about 15:1 are pretty hard to achieve. Also, have to consider compaction being more of a factor when it comes to storm total snow depth
  3. olafminesaw
    Overall a step back towards consensus on the Canadian. More positive tilt to the trough
  4. olafminesaw
    Slightly more suppressed than last run but minor changes
  5. olafminesaw
    Does the RGEM generally follow in close step with the CMC? Or more like how the GFS and NAM aren't really closely related?
  6. olafminesaw
    I believe the ICON verification scores are below most every other major global model TBF
  7. olafminesaw
    H5 looks like a step in the right direction but surface is extremely suppressed
  8. olafminesaw
    Check out this sounding on the Canadian at GSO. The part of the sounding marked in yellow represents the layer where temps are optimal for dendrites, i.e. the highest possible snow ratios. Never seen anything like it in these parts, pure weenie fuel!
  9. olafminesaw
    While we wait for 12z... a helpful guide for our friends on the coast
  10. olafminesaw
    I'm
  11. olafminesaw
    Definitely a tend towards hugging the coast. Could be one of those classic storms where Raleigh gets 6"+ and Greensboro gets an inch or two
  12. olafminesaw
  13. olafminesaw
    You've been tracking this thing longer than your average Vegas marriage! Gotta take a break from time to time.
  14. olafminesaw
    18z eps
  15. olafminesaw
    another step in the right direction! Hopefully 0z will be the model suite to draw us back in, in the Piedmont https://x.com/StormHQwx/status/1880034827464044968
  16. olafminesaw
    Still pretty squashed but light snow over the FL panhandle
  17. olafminesaw
    Iight snow breaking out over Louisiana at 114, definite improvement, should be a decent run for the coast
  18. olafminesaw
    Small improvements I think through hours 102. Nothing definitive yet, but precip starting to develope over SE texas
  19. olafminesaw
    Hard to say. But certainly more suppressed. If I had to guess maybe something like the Euro
  20. olafminesaw
    EPS moved the other direction, much more suppressed
  21. olafminesaw
    Differences between the 0z and 12z Euro are mostly noise I think, but keep in mind the 6z was well south of both, so a positive trends there
  22. olafminesaw
  23. olafminesaw
    It's like, draw a map of all the places that never get snow
  24. olafminesaw
    Jet dynamics a big driver here. Optimal on the Canadian and poorly positioned on the GFS
  25. olafminesaw
    The Canadian is cooking up some good soup
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