olafminesaw

2 hours ago, GaWx said:

6Z gfs is coldest run in several days for April 9th and colder than other current models making it a cold outlier:

If we don't manage to reach freezing this spring it would tie the earliest lasts freeze on record. Dropping to freezing in this next cold snap would be right around average, so I would say it shouldn't take "Barney" cold to get there. Models sometimes under do cold from radiative cooling, especially for the Sandhills, which typically would come the morning after the coldest day on models.

51 minutes ago, suzook said:

I am shocked at how quiet it is here. I understand its all about the snow, but severe weather is no joke. 3rd Tornado warning in my area just this year so far. 2 of the warnings had 2 tornadoes on the ground within 5 miles of me. I am assuming the severe line dissipated when it got close to the coast?

It really busted bad in NC. Just seems like we have less active posters in GA & SC

9 hours ago, gman said:

This system over performed, giving me 2.3” at my house. 

Wow! We have certainly entered the time of year when precip distribution tends to vary considerably across the region. .11 for GSO

Precip drying up east of the Apps? Who'd have thunk

1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said:

WRAL already putting out their weather alert day for Monday.

Do the local stations actually determine that,or do they rely on whatever service they get all their products from? I just noticed a lot of channels across the SE use this designation along with the same graphics, so wasn't sure what all that entails

7 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Is there going to be a chilly snap during the upcoming Masters just as has occurred in some past Masters? Be ready to break out  the coats one last time then just in case?

@dsauror others have an opinion?

The GEFS is hinting at a cool stretch around that time. 

2 hours ago, jburns said:

Low of 31º, high of 67ª.  I like it.

I agree! Perfect temps for not having to run the HVAC at all, while also getting to enjoy a nice warm afternoon

Pretty good verification on this one. Didn't quite reach the magnitude people feared (far from a generational outbreak), but that's a good thing

12 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Taylorsville in line to fucking get hit again 

I don't think it dropped, thank goodness

Big debris ball heading into the west side of Collins. Hoping it can miss just to the West 

Will head through a relatively populated part of the state 

While things are relatively quiet, any thoughts about tommorow in the Carolina's? Seems like the SPC outlook is pretty tame while local mets are hyping it up a bit. 

1 hour ago, sarcean said:

This suforum covers those states literally right at the top it says 

Southeastern States

Covering Southern VA, NC, SC, GA, FL, AL, and MS.

My bad, I misremembered. I do feel though they are a world a way climate-wise. Would be nice to have more posters from those states

16 minutes ago, kayman said:

Speak for yourself.

My immediate family members including my parents live in the Greater Birmingham area of Central Alabama.  I am legitimately concerned for them.

This forum and thread cover the entire Southeast from MS, AL, GA, FL, Southern VA, SC, NC and not just your area. 

Please read the room and have some sense of respect for those of us concerned about the possible severe weather outbreak threat across the Southeast.

I agree, but it does suck that AL & MS don't really have a subforum that's truly theirs. Technically they fall on the western states sub, but nobody posts there from the deep south 

4 minutes ago, nvck said:

MDT got even bigger on the latest D1 outlook

Parts of Alabama are in the moderate day 1 and high day two 

3 minutes ago, ATDoel said:

I think Mississippi might take the crown there, but only just.  I've also noticed our peak tornado season has shifted to March, where historically it's usually been more in April.

Pretty darn close

They actually reduced the wind threat, removing the 45% area entirely. I guess that may be due to increased confidence in super cell storm mode, which don't tend to produce a wide swath of high straight line winds 

14 minutes ago, GaWx said:

For what area and when is the SPC mentioning 60-100 mph gusts?

Day 1 for the Midwest in the discussion. Probably better question for the Lakes/Ohio valley subforum, kinda forgot this was the SE thread!

Today's SPC discussion mentions gusts of 60-100mph. Can anyone think of a time when the SPC mentioned wind gusts that high, excluding Derecho setups?

This AI model is a bit more aggressive for the Carolinas. I love a good strong storm, but hoping that we can keep the high end stuff from materializing.

32 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

This looks like a non event in central Carolina’s. Euro and Canadian don’t even hardly rain here

I don't know if I can think of a single storm system over the past 6 months that didn't lose momentum once it got into our region. 6 out of the last 7 years have been above average rainfall, so this may buck the trend and be below average.