-
Posts
3,301 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by olafminesaw
-
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
-
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
-
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
A helpful diagram I pulled from Twitter. Pacific jet is keeping any Canadian air from migrating down (surprised surprise) -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Relative to the complete disaster that was expected this winter, certainly things are looking somewhat better than expected. -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
-
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
I've never seen an arctic front move directly south like that. Highs in the l 30s in North Florida, and near 50 in Boston. -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Big shift on the GFS towards something workable for next Friday (this is the storm before the one we've had our eyes on) -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
For a big storm, fast flow/stream interaction to far East and two much Northern stream energy/Great lakes low are all working against us. Working for us is legit cold (if transient), and plenty of Gulf moisture to tap into if the Southern stream can get going. I feel the 6z GFS weak clipper type system is out best chance and may not really get resolved on models until a couple days before the storm. It helps to know we've already had some success this year with a similar system. -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
-
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
-
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah, I lived in northern VA at the time and remember coming back from Christmas in Western PA, expecting to see several inches of snow, only to find a dusting. It was crazy because they really ramped up the forecast totals just a day or two before the storm. I think model accuracy has really improved since then -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
-
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
-
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
olafminesaw replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
I hate to say it, but if the HRRR is to believed,the mountains need to watch out for a somewhat significant flash flood threat this evening into tommorow -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
-
December 2024 Observations
olafminesaw replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
Last night's windchill of 10 degrees at GSO is the coldest this early in the season since 1989, at least per IEM -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
-
December 2024 Observations
olafminesaw replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
I'm sure you're right. We had steady wind throughout the night and stayed steady throughout the night at 39 until around 6 am when it suddenly rose to 43. I think the wind shifted to a more Westerly component, which brought the higher few points. -
December 2024 Observations
olafminesaw replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
I honestly can't think of another time when temps have risen overnight without any cloud cover or precip. Usually ahead of the front there's at least scattered precip and thick cloud cover. There's a lot of dry air to our SE which is odd too. I guess arctic fronts behave differently than a traditional cold front. -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
The front Tommorow should be kinda fun. High temp around mid morning in the triad, that doesn't happen very often -
December 2024 Observations
olafminesaw replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
-
December 2024 Observations
olafminesaw replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
A remarkably even temp distribution across the state, only a couple degrees warmer near the coast than the western Piedmont,with most everyone between 15 and 25 degrees as the low. Low temp of 21 in Wilmington is colder than Boston at 28 -
December 2024 Observations
olafminesaw replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
-
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States
The analog that I've heard a lot is '13-'14 which also had some wild December swings before a snowy second half of the winter. It did not have a December cold snap to speak of like this year however. -
Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
olafminesaw replied to buckeyefan1's topic in Southeastern States