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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    It would seem based on obs, that little or none of this band is reaching the ground . Quite a dry airmass!
  2. olafminesaw
    One last fantasy run for old times sake?
  3. olafminesaw
    We also just forget what a below normal winter feels like. The cold stretches were fairly impressive but mainly because they were sustained rather than because of near record cold. In fact, the coldest low of 15 at GSO is above the average coldest temp of 9. The min-max was somewhat more impressive at 23 vs the average of 27, putting it in about the 25th percentile.
  4. olafminesaw
  5. olafminesaw
    Lol!
  6. olafminesaw
    Comparing the 9z sounding to current on the HRRR, check out the lift on the left hand side, seems the drizzle was a result of subsidence, stabilizing the atmosphere (even though neither sounding has CAPE)
  7. olafminesaw
    The line is picking up steam as it enters the more favorable environment
  8. olafminesaw
    Almost had a microburst look to it. I'm assuming the bow echo was able to bring down higher winds aloft, has weakened since
  9. olafminesaw
    What a view!
  10. olafminesaw
    These storms may try to spin up
  11. olafminesaw
    Seems like 75% of the time, the line of storms is less impressive WRT wind gusts than forecasted. With today's dynamics, this one may be different, but I would not be surprised if the winds leading up to the squall line were as high or higher as the squall line itself (40-45 mph)
  12. olafminesaw
  13. olafminesaw
    spin ups possible outside the main threat region even with little or no instability with curved hodographs
  14. olafminesaw
    It's a good thing the line of storms will roll through by about 2pm for most of us. Could be a much more significant day for us if the front were faster (as it will be East of 95) I think the synoptic winds will be the big story, not so much the squall line, especially West of 85. I could see a few spin up tornadoes, in the favored region (mt airy, to Roanoke)
  15. olafminesaw
    The GFS Is showing gusts to 60 mph on Wednesday, while other models are much more reasonable. Should expect gusts in the mid 40s, but a big I difference between 40 and 50 mph gusts.
  16. olafminesaw
    EURO and Euro AI feature suppression. Certainly not the Barney cold as needed, to give wiggle room, about as "thread the needle" as a system can be. The only reason it snows on the GFS is it is able to produce it's own cold and draw down the colder air aloft.
  17. olafminesaw
    Nifty new graphic from IEM showing trends in drought status across the state
  18. olafminesaw
    That is one funky looking ERC
  19. olafminesaw
    Wednesday could certainly be an interesting weather day
  20. olafminesaw
    Going back to 1928, Greenville has never recorded 3 consecutive years with 1" or less of snowfall. They ended up at 1.1", so very close to setting that record. It's also true that they have never recorded 1.1" or less in 3 consecutive years, but that's a bit of a cherry picked stat.
  21. olafminesaw
    Hush now
  22. olafminesaw
    Torch incoming
  23. olafminesaw
    First 10 days of February were +10.5
  24. olafminesaw
    Coldest start to the year across the US in a long time
  25. olafminesaw
    Even more through the end of the run. The only fun thing about March snow is it's rare.
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