olafminesaw

Even more through the end of the run. The only fun thing about March snow is it's rare.

Near zero dewpoints last night, which is increasingly unusual as we head into March. Single digit dew points occur just over 10% of the time in late February

We have now entered the time of year when you have to both be in a great pattern and get lucky. I am not really seeing a ton of support for cold air linking up with moisture on ensembles, so I would say, bring on the warmth

12z holds serve In contrast with the regular Euro

Is that ice report legit? Has to be bogus, otherwise the whole purple area would be lights out

Yep, when I suggested for you to make the storm thread, I didn't think you would use that power only to bring Raleigh the goods

snow or severe? #justmarchthings

Yeah, the HRRR had some fresh development east of the mountains but dried up a bit in the most recent run. Encouraging you are already seeing flurries since the best dynamics won't be for at least another hour

See that's how I know this is the South, otherwise you'd be taking them out to do donuts in an empty parking lot...and then getting Chick-fil-A afterward

All that dry air just enhanced banding for the developing coastal. Congrats Raleigh, I know how rare these are!

This is somehow steady light snow

Huge flakes In Greensboro. Wasn't really expecting these kind of rates. Let's see if the band can stay out for a while, maybe even build to the west a bit, before pushing East. I'm thinking based on hires modeling, we should be in the best dynamics through about 4 pm

You can see the convection that was robbing moisture is pivoting which will aid in moisture transport for Eastern areas

Just ask someone from northern England .they have 26 different words for drizzle (just kidding, I made that up...I think). I suppose there's drizzle that makes you a little damp, vs a soaking drizzle. That's my experience anyway

I am guessing once this slug of moisture arrives in the Triangle is when the highest rates will occur, remains to be seen how far west the main band can build back.