olafminesaw

What in the heck is that mess? I think the red and orange should be flipped?

Euro vs GFS, big differences still

Come on Euro. Make happy hour great again

We kinda already have a bit I think in general. Really need the Euro to move in that direction, it has been stubborn

Seems a bit north so far but the ridge is stronger to the East so that may help suppress as the system moves East

I agree, although I could definitely see a massive dry slot cutting into QPF way more than models are showing. At this point 4-6" of sleet or bust in my mind.

This sounding is bonkers, 11 degrees at the surface and 40 degrees 5000 ft up

The ICON looks like a step in the right direction through 72, with more spacing

RGEM is showing a wide stripe of sleet with a more narrow zone of ZR in the deep south. Once it is in range, it will be a key model to watch

Yeah I think it's just frustration at losing the once in a generation snowstorm potential. I find myself chasing the high of the "big one", that I experienced when I was a kid. But I know at the end of the day it will come ago and melt away and my life overall won't be better or worse as a result of what happens. Snow is a gift at the end of the day

Yep, reposting what I shared yesterday. This low track was 2" snow, 2" sleet and minimal ZR in the triad

6z Euro is largely the same, maybe a touch south overall. The bleeding stops now, we can only hope

Totally agree. I do think there is an upside with more moisture early on Saturday from overrunning where the triangle/triad could over perform.

And the full run

GEFS still not buying the Euro, ticked south at 6z