olafminesaw

Ensembles people. Also the rainfall potential this weekend was always paltry (few models more than .25), the wetter period starts later next week and has mostly held the course

I agree to a point, but it seems likely we will get multiple opportunities over the next two weeks. Sometimes a few .5" rainfalls is better than one big 2" rainfall for busting drought. Hopefully we can stop the bleeding anyway

Not way out in fantasy range anymore

Last few runs of the Euro AI have just been comical

Euro vs EL nino climo. I think slightly below normal starting in May is a good bet. Which honestly isn't the worst outcome to keep the drought from accelerating.

More like :

King Euro AI would have to agree

Ties the all time DSCI record for the SE region previously set 12-18-2007

How many inches in my back yard?

Somewhat lower odds of a washout in the 10-14 day timeframe we are watching, but odds continue to increase for at least some rainfall