olafminesaw

Last few runs of the Euro AI have just been comical

Euro vs EL nino climo. I think slightly below normal starting in May is a good bet. Which honestly isn't the worst outcome to keep the drought from accelerating.

More like :

King Euro AI would have to agree

Ties the all time DSCI record for the SE region previously set 12-18-2007

How many inches in my back yard?

Somewhat lower odds of a washout in the 10-14 day timeframe we are watching, but odds continue to increase for at least some rainfall

Glued to every model cycle from here on out, we can reel this fantasy range rainstorm in

The Mariana islands gets just about as many high end typhoons as anywhere else I nthe world. Saipan took a direct hit from a cat 5 back in 2018. I am guessing that Saipan didn't get much above cat 2 winds from this, with maybe some higher gusts. Good timing with the ERC.

Some signs of a pattern change, but I fear this will just keep getting kicked back

My forecast for Saturday is 94 with a dewpoint in the low 50s, flash drought conditions under any circumstances