olafminesaw

Nasty ice if anything. Bleh

Check out the consistency from the Euro AI

The Euro AI has been insistent over the past couple days on snow next week for southern VA to the NC border. Seems unlikely with few other models on board but the UKMET joined the party and has snow for north/central NC

Next bit of interesting weather is some training of heavy rain cells Thurs/Friday that could lead to flash flooding concerns over a narrow stripe

Some signs of life in the long range. Maybe some kind of frozen slop about a week from now. Not entirely sure if I want that to happen.

Looks like a wallops island launch viewing map

Here's the comparison, lol

Crazy model runs for the mid-atlantic. GFS has 30" for DC and the Euro 2". 3-4 days out now.

Yeah, this doesn't look like our storm because of the little bit of SE ridge, but this does have the classic look of a big storm from DC to NYC. Haven't had one of those in a while (from a coastal anyway)

It's been creeping up over the last few weeks, but not enough to reach close to Nino before late spring at the earliest. Of course we could still have a nino like pattern in a neutral Enso state as we saw a few weeks ago

For kicks and giggles

My definition is any of the following criteria being met. Of course no winter meets these criteria consecutively, but the end of winter in my book is whenever the last date of one of these criteria is met 1) snow/sleet accumulation 1"+ 2) ice accumulation more than a light glaze 3) high temps in the 30s for 3+ days in a 5 day stretch

Sad situation, a direct impact on a metro area of 500k+