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mimillman

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Everything posted by mimillman

  1. The difference between a snowy/cold January and a warm/wet cutter January is that ridge being centered 500-1000 miles too far west.
  2. Multi year bad stretches happen, that’s not new
  3. Not terrible if you’re just looking for an active pattern.
  4. Clearly no development of a secondary this weekend means suppressed Jan 6-7.
  5. Great run for a large part of the sub forum on the Euro. PV over Alaska is deadly. PV over Greenland, much more workable at least.
  6. More zonal look on the 8-10 day now. Will take that any day over this horrendous pattern. At least there will be opportunities to work with.
  7. It’s so far out, shouldn’t be reading too much into it. What does matter is the much better looking pattern consistently shown in the 8-10 day range.
  8. Much better look on the Euro long range again. Placement of the Aleutian ridge looks solid. A bit further East would do wonders.
  9. 00z Euro looks much better after the storm next week and finally showing signs of the PV breaking down in the 8-10 day range. I’m optimistic about mid Jan
  10. Long range GFS after the system mid next week looks good. Just gotta get through the next week.
  11. Wondering if this torch is actually helping to warm up the lake and will come to bite us in January during any onshore flow events.
  12. The polar vortex is mega mega mega strong. Everywhere in the world is warmer than normal, except the arctic.
  13. One of the strongest PVs I’ve seen in a really long time...the Arctic probably seeing one of its coldest Decembers in quite some time. Must be global warming
  14. Pretty big improvements from the 12z GFS by end month.
  15. But you need a system like that and something bigger to bring about a pattern shift, regardless of rain or snow
  16. Still strong, consolidated PV. Really need that to breakdown to get something more impressive/sustainable.
  17. I mean it still sucks but admittedly there’s more action in the long range than before. GFS and Euro both hinting end month
  18. I’ll take a warm December if it means a cold and snowy January any year.
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