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mimillman

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Everything posted by mimillman

  1. Mt Holly hoisted watches 72 hours prior to 12/17 for the reasons you mentioned and it was a total bust around Philly. I don’t disagree with you, just saying it happens even when things look great.
  2. Merits to the 18z GFS lake effect plume on Thursday?
  3. To be fair to LOT at least, onset of precipitation is later than previously modeled, looking more like Monday late afternoon/early evening. So a watch hoisted in 12 hours makes sense, it’ll probably end up happening in the wee hours of the AM as Ricky alluded to. As for eastern DVN, they’re probably coordinating with LOT
  4. I do not love the look on the RGEM or even the 12z euro for that matter in terms of orientation of the axis of heaviest snows. The RGEM is relatively alone for the time being but I would not want to see other models trend similarly.
  5. Off topic but just met the dog we’re adopting and my heart is melting. Sadly it’ll be after the storm so I won’t be able to frolic with her in the snow. Guess I’ll just settle for my wife
  6. To everyone else, I apologize if at times I seem a bit hot headed. I do love this hobby and really enjoy the debate that we have. The posts from many of you are very enjoyable to read and I’m very thankful that we have some great Mets on the board participating.
  7. I’m sorry, there is not a SINGLE piece of operational guidance that supports northern LOT underperforming to the degree you’re suggesting. You’ve been a harbinger of doom from the very start of this event, have refused to acknowledge trends opposed to your view, and quite frankly it’s getting tiring. I respect a Met tag and I’m sure you’re speaking from experience, but for the love of god back it up.
  8. The euro seems to want to tilt the axis of heaviest snow closer to SW to NE. I wouldn’t worry too much until it gets confirmation from other guidance, but it is concerning for both of us.
  9. Yea, keeps it going through Tuesday pretty much, interesting
  10. I’m not harassing you, I’m disagreeing with you. If you’re going to continue to post unsubstantiated garbage, expect the disagreement to continue.
  11. You come here for a few weeks, Chicago gets its biggest storm in a few years. Don’t go.
  12. Interesting. I’d have thought there’s enough consensus now you can be reasonably confident issuing a watch.
  13. Should start seeing the watches hoisted with evening AFDs. Going to need blizzard warnings in Iowa
  14. GEFS similar trend, slightly further south and weaker.
  15. It’s beautiful. Any further north than 6z was getting cringeworthy for the metro
  16. Wild to me that Chicago’s last 6”+ snowstorm was November 2018, and that at ORD. For the Loop, last 6” storm I can remember was Feb 2018. Has been a horrendous stretch and it is finally coming to an end.
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