mimillman
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Everything posted by mimillman
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I heard Canadian provinces are the size of Delaware and there's no decent rates without arctic air present.
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It has been pretty consistent to be fair
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Everyone should just learn to be nice like me and Alek, god.
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I just typed something mean but deleted it. Hoosier would be proud.
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Tick south but solid nonetheless. This is about all I can hope for I think, which is a huge win in this season.
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Agree. Still think the 12z suite is underdone on QPF
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No clue
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2015 is #4
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Also fwiw, the GEM ensembles are roughly in line with 00z
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It honestly looks like in general, models are struggling with the positioning of center SLP. Look at what the GEM does between hours 72 and 84 with surface low placement. Hard to know at this point which placement is correct, but I continue to think this is ours and am not overly concerned. I would like to see south trends at least pause on the 00z, if not start moving back north.
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Yep agree, SLP also further south. Don't think it'll be dramatic, but not friendly trends. Luckily, still plenty of time.
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I agree with you that further south solutions are less prone to lake enhancement.
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I have a job but I can multi-task
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What was the GFS? You were absent as that rolled out and only reappear to highlight runs that support this wall theory of yours.
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Is the writing back on the wall now? That wall must be getting very wordy
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Yes the 12z GEM was not great, weaker SLP and further south. We know this song and dance, by this point at this range you should be comfortable with 150 mile shifts in either direction. It's normal.
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When I say LE, I'm referring to lake enhancement. And I'll buy your 1" and rebid.
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Clearly the writing is on the wall for northern LOT counties
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LE anyone?
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GEFS are going to be epic. Similar SLP placement but more QPF
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Textbook track for lake enhancement
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SLP track over Indy. Verbatim that would rip over Chicago
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Lesson to myself in analyzing 500mb maps when I'm not a trained meteorologist: don't. It is a tick further northwest. QPF max more consolidated but higher amounts-- at least I got that one right.
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GFS SLP stronger but lobe over central Canada further south. Also 500mb looks a little less sharp, I'd expect this to slide SE a bit
