Jump to content

mimillman

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,468

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by mimillman

  1. mimillman
    Lake enhancement will save Alec call
  2. mimillman
    Nitpicking but probably WWA for the majority of the CWA and WSW for northern cook and lake counties
  3. mimillman
    Still looks like a high end advisory event for most. Disappointing given what was progged but not a terrible result. Just reset expectations and you’ll be happy tomorrow
  4. mimillman
    I think that’s a thing of the past. Pretty sure 18z runs especially at this range are as good as anything. There’s no change for me to my call of 5-8” with locally 10” in best lake enhancement. You tend to see a drying trend especially with these less dynamic systems around 48-60 hours from an event. If you look to the east in northern Virginia and DCA, exactly this happened before gradually adding back some moisture in the past 12 hours.
  5. mimillman
    The trend started about 12-18 hours ago
  6. mimillman
    And cut QPF by a solid 0.1-0.15”
  7. mimillman
    It’s been a pretty clear move drier in the OP models the past couple cycles. This latest move is more exaggerated than the others. It’s ultimately not that surprising and reinforces the need to rely on the lake for bigger totals
  8. mimillman
    Not often you see the ensembles with better QPF than the OP
  9. mimillman
    GFS continues trend of shaving QPF but actually looks like precip field expands. More spread the wealth, lower overall totals, still impressive
  10. mimillman
    RGEM definitely backing off QPF but to be expected at this range. No change to call
  11. mimillman
    Nice lake enhancement signal on the ICON. Locked and loaded
  12. mimillman
    LOT just hoisted watch for entire CWA
  13. mimillman
    Last one downtown I believe was Feb 2021.
  14. mimillman
    Could be a proper snow on snow event. Not like a dusting on top of an inch either.
  15. mimillman
    Expecting watches hoisted with afternoon AFD. I’ll go widespread 5-8” as final call with 10” lollipops where lake enhancement wins.
  16. mimillman
    Euro didn’t look NW at 6z but was still solid. Not complaining, sitting pretty for once
  17. mimillman
    Nice enhancement signal
  18. mimillman
    Euro continues to be more generous with the moisture but the overall set up is similar. It shows a widespread 4-8” and similar to the CMC, is picking up on a local maximum in Cook and Lake counties, the result of lake enhancement
  19. mimillman
    These are set ups where lake enhancement overperforms for NE Illinois so I’m cautiously optimistic of someone pulling 6” even if moisture is relatively lacking
  20. mimillman
    This is looking more like a widespread moderate 3-5” type event but I’m here for it. Will be the best event of the season here and a promising pattern on its heels.
  21. mimillman
    We’ll have a look at this 12z Sunday
  22. mimillman
    This is garbage
  23. mimillman
    I am in New York and yes, this is a bust
  24. mimillman
    Yea in general it’s been too far east aligned, but still.
  25. mimillman
    The crazy thing to me is despite the pattern, Boston and NYC have had horrible luck as well
×
×
  • Create New...