mimillman

Tough thankless job tbf. If you nail the call the public thinks “congrats you did your job.” If you call something wrong the public loses faith immediately no matter how good you are

I think ratios will pull out 3-6” but splitting hairs. Might as well just go with that for my final call across LOT CWA.

Spread has the 3-6” look and that’s probably where it’ll stay

I think we need to focus on member MBN4

I don’t know why everyone is so down. We still have the 36 hour HRRR to look forward to

Yea I’ll say this trend is worrisome for Michigan and Indiana as well. Need it to completely reverse at 12z otherwise this becomes a standard moderate event, which fine.

The 6z euro likely is again more progressive than 00z. The SE ridge at 500mb is not as amplified again, which prevents our piece of energy from digging as much.

On the bright side, I don’t have to go to Dubuque

Hah that’s funny. Where da RFD posters at

Don’t worry Detroit and Indy crew, plenty of time for tomorrow’s 12z suite to bring ‘er back

I didn’t say it wouldn’t be. My point was regards to timing. And for the record I actually prefer the 18z track and low placement both for better ratios and because defo band snows are always further northwest than progged

18z euro will be less amped again. Onset of precipitation keeps getting delayed a few hours each run as WAA snows shift well north out of the area. We are dealing with mostly a Thursday evening into Friday system now and yes, the scale may be large but we are at least 78 hours away from any meaningful precip. Still think a bit premature to hoist watches.

It’s the Midwest. We don’t got your style

No, It’s virtually the same

Man, understatement

DVN, MKE, MSN enter the game

Actually no mention of totals in the watch text: ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions possible. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, north central and northeast Illinois and northwest Indiana. * WHEN...From Thursday evening through late Friday night. * IMPACTS...Falling and blowing snow may result in white out conditions with zero visibility at times, making travel extremely difficult, if not impossible. Power outages will also be possible as a result of strong damaging wind gusts to 55 mph. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Bitterly cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero are likely during the height of the storm. Wind chills of this magnitude can cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Prepare for possible blizzard conditions. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$

LOT just pulled the trigger

12z EPS remarkably consistent

Not surprising and it has more to go

Would expect watches hoisted with tomorrow afternoon’s package following 12z suite.

Low on top of 00z basically and cuts back in western QPF shield

That’s either going to bust too low or bust too high. So I guess I’ll take the != 5

Canadian is team Euro

In other words everyone is still fair game outside of OV