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mimillman

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Everything posted by mimillman

  1. mimillman
    I think it makes sense. The same drying trend that took place for us will happen over MI outside of lake effect belts, despite how much they will complain. The NAM has done well leading the rest of the suite so far, I think it deserves some credence.
  2. mimillman
    Kind of what I was alluding to the other day, the NAM sets up a “sweet spot” so to speak from Des Moines to Dubuque and into Wisconsin. This area gets in on more intense WAA as well as the developing low. I wouldn’t be surprised to see widespread 6”+ totals in central and northeastern Iowa where this sets up.
  3. mimillman
    No clue. More NAM updates: it is more amplified out west in the DVN CWA, hence the higher totals there. Still lackluster across the majority of Illinois but an improvement from the glorified snow showers on the 6z
  4. mimillman
    So the 12z NAM is hinting at what the SREF was onto (no surprise there) with main WAA more impactful in Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, hence higher totals. That is believable
  5. mimillman
    Fwiw the 9z SREF actually ticked totals up decently for everyone. Back to 5” mean at ORD, GRR at 17”, DVN substantially higher (9”), MKE 6”
  6. mimillman
    I know who I’d pick
  7. mimillman
    My 3-6” range final call for LOT CWA probably busts a tad high, 2-4” would be better
  8. mimillman
    Climo
  9. mimillman
    Defo too high
  10. mimillman
    Well at least the pattern looks great after this …oh wait
  11. mimillman
    We will have our time, don’t worry. And when that happens, it will likely be a nice cold rain for you.
  12. mimillman
    Technically it was like 3-4 days out which, it happens.
  13. mimillman
    Never thought I’d say it but actually, congrats to the NAM. Sniffed this one out beginning yesterday’s 18s runs, outside of its prime range at that
  14. mimillman
    All I can say is, Michigan posters, it will be interesting watching your reaction tomorrow when this trend continues
  15. mimillman
    Man… 21z SREF drops ORD mean to 3.5”. There are 14 members below to mean, 9 above. Of the 14 members below the mean, 10 of them are < 2”
  16. mimillman
    Agree, a continuation at 00z would be encouraging
  17. mimillman
    This is a fair forecast
  18. mimillman
    I have a feeling we see a tick back up tonight but nothing major
  19. mimillman
    I do think ratios will be better than 10:1
  20. mimillman
    WAA makes it into Galena this run
  21. mimillman
    This is a decent outcome but probably high end of expectation
  22. mimillman
    I can’t wait until Alek’s 5” call verified because of 4” of WAA followed by an inch from an arctic frontal passage.
  23. mimillman
    I’m actually intrigued if this continues, the initial WAA snows should keep drifting south and might be able to save southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois
  24. mimillman
    Oh my the NAM is a disaster
  25. mimillman
    Yes, I appreciate RC’s context that they were pulled in early. Not a comfortable position to be in but I could see why some CWAs, perhaps less acquainted to these types of systems, wanted to get an early warning out to the public.
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