HIPPYVALLEY

I'm not sure people grasp that. I was not even slated for more than -SN until midnight and it looks like what's pivoting in will be at or just ahead of that time frame. We'll see where it goes from there but current obs can sometimes deceive folks from the overall modeled solutions.

Albany looks to be in some decent returns right now while lesser echoes are East of there.

I would say it has started.

Most of the general public wouldn't be. There would be lynch mobs out for the mets. lol

Some of us have remained unperturbed today by the paranoid talk of WNE being screwed etc.

Wow, upping our totals rather than lowering. What East trend? lol

They should be able to handle convective feedback right? Initialization errors?

BOX not buying. They are riding a different horse: OVERALL WENT WITH MESOSCALE MODELS /MAINLY THE NAM WITH A TOUCH OF THE WRF/ ALONG WITH A EC/WPC BLEND POINT TO THE TWO AREAS IN QUESTION FOR SNOW-BANDING. ALL OTHER MODELS /GFS-CANADIAN-UKMET/ WERE CLUSTERED A BIT FASTER. OVERALL IT REMAINS A CHALLENGE AS THERE IS A SPREAD IN THE FORECAST GUIDANCE OF LOW POSITIONING AND THERE REMAINS FORECAST UNCERTAINTY. They're map has not updated from this morning but my 4:30 zone forecast is still 18-24"

Relax, you're fine.

Apparently neither are any of the NWS offices. BOX has not updated map but Albany, Upton and GYX all look like updated maps (time sigs) that keep W NE well in the game. I trust their collective ability to interpret models.

LOL, live and die by the Euro out here. it doubles up every other model for snow in W MA.

ncep discussion really rode the Euro.

Can't help but feel once this thing starts cranking the Euro/Nam end up being more right than wrong.

Statewide?

Lol, we are not getting under 10". I'm going with 12-16" out here as my guess.

hey Scott MPM got bumped but wanted me to ask you what the chances are they get him out on a 4:30 out of Hartford?

some of these runs this morning really have the I-91 crowd in MA riding the edge of good and great. I'm throwing my money on the Euro and spinning the wheel.

Ct already w/ pages long lists of schools with early dismissals and closings for today. Lol

I'm not really buying into some of the models that are spitting out .25" qpf back here. That would only happen in a significant move E or in a wound up tighter moisture field. Not saying it couldn't happen but NWS certainly isn't going with those solutions.

Find a stream for a Boston channel: WCVB, WHDH, WBZ. NECN would work too.

Haven't even looked at Euro yet but BOX says game for on W MA! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 353 AM EST MON JAN 26 2015 ...A CRIPPLING AND POTENTIALLY HISTORIC BLIZZARD WILL IMPACT THE AREA MAINLY FROM LATE TODAY INTO TUESDAY...LINGERING INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY... MAZ002>004-008>011-026-261700- /O.CON.KBOX.WS.W.0003.150127T0000Z-150128T0600Z/ WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA- WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE... BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST... NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...AYER 353 AM EST MON JAN 26 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW ALONG WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND 20 TO 30 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR AT TIMES. * TIMING...WHILE THE STORM IS EXPECTED LATE TODAY LINGERING INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY...THE WORST OF THE STORM WILL BE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN WHITE-OUT / BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES. TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT TO NEAR IMPOSSIBLE AND LIFE- THREATENING ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. * WINDS...NORTH-NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 TO 45 MPH. THE HEIGHT OF THE WINDS WILL BE LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN AN AVERAGE OF 6 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...OR FOR 8 OR MORE INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. TRAVEL WILL BE SLOW AT BEST ON WELL TREATED SURFACES...AND QUITE DIFFICULT ON ANY UNPLOWED OR UNTREATED SURFACES. ALL UNNECESSARY TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED BEGINNING MONDAY AFTERNOON... TO ALLOW PEOPLE ALREADY ON THE ROAD TO SAFELY REACH THEIR DESTINATION BEFORE THE HEAVY SNOW BEGINS...AND TO ALLOW SNOW REMOVAL EQUIPMENT TO BEGIN TO CLEAR ROADS. && $$ FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT @NWSBOSTON

Maybe a little overdone with the western qpf cutoff seeing as I have to fill in for MPM's absence. lol

A supposed 20" correction to forecasts tends to deflate some weenies. I think they are bridge jumping a bit prematurely.

16/7 here high clouds starting to obscure the stars. Nice to finally have a system this year that has close to zero chance of tainting out here. Radar and water vapor images look like precip moves into New England a little ahead of schedule?