Surface temps for most of CT stay below freezing for much of CT on most models I've looked at tonight. SOmnebody is getting a good slug of ice tomorrow.
Kevin is going to be secretly crestfallen when he gets a nice SN/PL event but other CT peeps are posting pictures of ice encased landscapes and skaters on side streets and town sidewalks across Central CT.
You're getting a lot of winter precipitation tomorrow, hope for your sake it is SN/PL and not FZRA. Somebody is getting an ice storm though, that's pretty well hinted at in more than a few models.
Nobody should ever ignore potential speed of the mid-level warming in these events. The big question for some of the CT peeps is it a pack building sleet fest or full on 6+ hour ice storm?
I would certainly keep one eye on the mesos tonight and if they ramp up the speed and extent of the mid-level warming as we get closer. Not hard to envision sleet getting to the Pike or beyond before retreating back. Parts of CT definitely in the FZRA crosshairs.
I obviously don’t have any specific numbers but it seems to me that probably 75%(?) of these setups are generally congrats Rt 2 corridor from me to Ray and obviously wiggle room N and S of that line.