HIPPYVALLEY

ICON is trying to put a pretty friendly H over Ontario/Quebec so we'll see how that plays out the next day or two.

As you know, WNE love us some SWFE's. They are the only really lock for decent snows W of the River.

You are leagues ahead of me with sensible wx knowledge, I was just going on climo experience and staring at a bunch of multiple hour model runs today. What I saw was coastal hugger or a slightly suppressed push E and weak dynamics with the perfect BM solution being a more tenuous resolve. I have not bought my winter model subscription so I don’t see high res hour by hour so I am detail ignorant. I am just trying to learn and have fun at the end of the day. edit: to clarify I looked at a bunch of 500 and 700mb maps trying to look for trends.

More than 12/1 for sure.

We are either going to hug or suppress I’m not sure I’m buying a benchmark track.

I personally only like model compromise as a reasonable forecast option inside of 72 hours.

What, we shouldn’t spike while the ball is at the 50?

Staring at a bunch of models last night the disjointed mid-level mess scenario was my leanings but I know nothing. Let’s see how models trend with strength of secondary next few days.

One reason not to trust it is that it puts what should be the CT River Valley screw zone totals in the middle of Worcester Co.

There bodies contain anti-freeze proteins. Unreal.

10" at Sugarloaf yesterday, if the map above verifies it will be some great T-Day skiing there.

Nice! Full winter mode up there.

Didn't you get like 1.5" early AM? Dave did and I had almost that much in lowly Greenfield.

The boy got up first, I thought something was wrong the way he yelled “daddy come quick” and then I saw the cars covered in snow. It would have been nice to actually see it coming down because I bet it was dumping.

That's nuts, I've had less than .25" liquid since sunrise.

Great dryslot here, has only been very light rain for hours now. Slushy accumulation from earlier still otg.

Heavy mist here currently. 34F

Tomorrow and Tuesday look well above freezing, so at least I don’t have to worry about clearing the slop off the driveway today.

It must've come down pretty good here in the wee hours because I measured almost 1.25" on the picnic table at 6am. That was completely unexpected in the valley. (400')

Welp, didn’t expect to wake up to this.

Today's trends have not been favorable in track, precipitation, mid-level temps and unrealistic weenie enthusiasm. Sleet in NYC right now does not equate to better chance of anyone is SNE seeing a flip to snow in the morning.

I think N Conway NH to Rangely ME are the only real favorable places to be. It wouldn't surprise me to see no accumulations S of Lakes Region of NH. This storm will be too far NE before the necessary combination dynamics come together. 850 temps on the mesos don't get there until the heaviest precipitation is cruising out of here.

I’ll take a drive to Monads or Savoy if it actually looks promising.

Head for Carrabassett Valley?

Calendar climo, seasons in seasons.