Plus, even if the snow looks fresh and white, there are always dirt and dust particles settling on it, reducing its reflective ability, allowing for more melting!
I used to think it was a mistake when I would see 1936 listed as peak water height on a lot of the rivers around here. I just assumed they meant 1938 hurricane. Then I started looking into it and found a banged up copy of that same book that you posted.
There are some actual film archives of the ice flows taking out bridges on the CT River and tributaries. I think the Montague historical society has the one I saw.
This cold has already and will continue to set up some impressive river ice.
Maybe come March we can get some jamming and flooding on the Connecticut to rival 1936.
Not that I really want that. It’s just a fascinating phenomena. 1936 took out dozens of bridges and I believe it was worse flooding than the 1938 hurricane.
I just did the pot of boiling water into the air trick for my wife and teenager.
I could tell they were somewhat impressed, but also annoyed by my enthusiasm.
Something different from what the models are showing right now is going to happen for sure.
I’m not convinced it will be big for us, but they are definitely going to be some surprises over the next 48 hours.
The whole evolution is weird and we won't really have better sampling until at least tomorrow night. The GFS still has the energy diving down, trying to snort a line off a bar in Miami and then blow a low up off the Georgia coast.
Yes, I would take some refresher inches. Unless this can pull dramatically further NW as a dynamic system we might be better off with an occluded storm but an expanded precipitation field out this way. Get a 2"- 4" over 10 hours type deal.