Hoth
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Everything posted by Hoth
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It's just a crying shame we can't get the northern stream to come down like a 100 miles further west. It's sort of kicking right now instead of getting a nice clean phase. Let's hope we see some favorable developments in that arena today. -
I think we also jacked (for CT anyway) in Jan '11. That was a great few years.
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If you want a silver lining, my area was modeled to get about 15" in Feb '13 and we wound up with closer to a meter. You never know with these things.
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12z is big today IMO. Everything should be sampled, so we in western wastes will need another 50 mile tick...unless the storm does its thing of throwing a deform farther west than modeled of course.
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The North American wv loop is just a garden of delights. You can see our southern stream pinwheeling through Missouri, our northern stream plunging down the Canadian prairie, our ridge pumping, our block pressing, and all sorts of interesting bits of vorticity pinwheeling around the skunked out corpse of last week's storm. Just beautiful.
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Too bad Reg has been hopped up on opiates all winter. That's a sick solution.
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This is one of those deals where the western folks will agonize and lean on the non-hydrostatic models, hoping they're sniffing out a lot of convection pumping heights and drawing this thing in closer. Not betting on that. Though Miller As do seem to nestle in at the last minute, the blocking and northern stream interaction probably limit that possibility.
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Thing's jumping all over the place. Has a bit of that IVT look.
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Dawn awakened.
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I don't think anyone could complain about this run.
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Nam gon' Nam.
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Do you remember what it did within 24 hours of the last event? Wouldn't give it too much weight. This is the model that had Feb '13 as a weak reflection scraping the Cape the day of the storm.
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Looks northwest to me at 66.
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Northern stream appears to be dropping in more quickly so far.
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Wouldn't it be great to celebrate the 25th anniversary of one of the greatest winter storms in history with a crushing encore performance?
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I won't fight ya.
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3k would be epic.
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Thank goodness SWC closed for the season.
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If you get a clean phase, absolutely possible. the +PNA and block would certainly argue for it in that event.
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If you look at the GOES16 northern hemisphere water vapor, our northern stream looks like it's about to nosedive off a cliff. You can really see the squeeze of the rising PNA and the block taking shape. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=global-northernhemi-08-48-0-100-1&checked=map
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Somewhere up in Litchfield or the Berks might still be in the game.
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Yeah, no bueno with the ongoing power issues. The tree damage is pretty remarkable. I have a few neighbors that had trees come through the roof like you did. Arbor vitae, cedars, white pines and old maples for the loss.
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Yeah, I'm confident we get it. The Euro has been too far southeast in the midrange with almost all our storms this winter. I could see one more big move northwest with a better phase and then it'll lock in.
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Man, there are a lot of EPS members that would be SNE slaughtering.
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The cure for that is almost worse than the disease.
