Hoth

Thunder! Nice cell popped up just to my north.

How many strong tornadoes for Harwich?

Does a -EPO in summer still correlate to cooler weather? Would think so, but actually not sure.

I finally got around to power washing my house after a couple years of grime and green stuff had built up on the north side (last summer's dews were chiefly responsible). On the positive side, the house is gleaming like new. On the negative side, I set my ladder down on a yellow jacket nest and now have a lovely complement of angry welts on my calf.

Yeah if we hit 99 today, I'm packing up and moving to Orkney.

Nice tower going up to my north. Very tall, but quite skinny.

Funny thing is if our temperature never fluctuated and stayed pegged to 78 degrees all month, most of us would call this COC.

Think we can pull off a midrange cane threat later this month? You know, something that temporarily ends the ennui of endless dews before harmlessly recurving with crashing surf for only witness to its passing in the night?

We just did as far as I'm concerned.

Agreed, and welcome aboard.

This July has been nowhere near as uncomfortable as last year, even if it has been technically warmer. Dews have generally been manageable.

My initial inclination was to say "F it, let's go bowling." But I thought better of it.

I realize this strays from the purpose of this thread, so mods feel free to delete or move. But I think there are a few things that work against total acceptance (beyond willful ignorance) of the climate change argument. First, most people have a hard time wrapping their minds around how a one degree increase in a century or more makes much difference, especially when in a single day one experiences far greater temp swings. If I held something to my skin that is 79 degrees and something that is 80, I'd probably have a hard time telling the difference . Second, predictions that seem especially outlandish, dire, or aggressive, tend to get more airplay and, especially if they don't pan out, create mistrust. Kind of like a busted Bouchard forecast. I remember around the time of the Great Financial Crisis, when oil was $130, there were articles floating around about how by 2020 the arctic would be ice free in summer, and sea levels would be so high that New York City would be flooding regularly at high tide and oil would be so scarce that it would skyrocket to $500 or $1,000 a barrel, which clearly has not panned out. Third, I think there's some skepticism regarding the quality of the data these forecasts are based from (think poor siting and calibration), the statistical methods used to massage raw data, and in some cases, the financial incentives researchers have to maintain the flow of grant funding. There's a sense that this is a cash grab and a chance for the government to exert more control over the citizenry. There are also be some who think along these lines: "If we can't accurately predict the weather in three days, using millions of real time data points, governing equations and the world's most powerful supercomputers, how can we accurately predict climate decades ahead of time? What if we're missing variables?" Finally, I think people see enormous hypocrisy in our green leaders (I among them) like Al Gore, who has enriched himself immensely by proselytizing living sustainably, while he flies privately, lives in an enormous mansion and owns coastal real estate. Or Leonardo Dicaprio, who floats from port to port on megayachts while lecturing people not to eat beef. Or, perhaps worst of all, Elon Musk, who talks about our existential peril while owning no less than five megamansions in Bel Air area, flying a Gulfstream to his factory fifty miles from home, and churning out cars which, when considering the cost of mining, refining and disposing of the lithium batteries and building the charging infrastructure to support them, are as polluting as gas cars, all while hoovering up state and federal government subsidies for being "green." Finally, people tend to have a lot more pressing shit in their lives: health issues, debt, all kinds of struggles. At the end of the day, climate science ranks very low on the list of daily exigencies. A few end notes (God, how does Tippy do this every day?): If this is truly an extinction level threat, as one often hears, why are we not committing to nuclear power on a global scale? Sure, there are risks, but the reactor engineering is so strong and the safety mechanisms so redundant nowadays that the odds of a meltdown are slim to none. And yeah, storage of spent fuel is another problem, but again, if carbon is truly the danger it's been made out to be, why aren't we doing this? Not-in-my-backyard-ism? On a personal note, the evidence of warming seems pretty clear (but I disagree that any scientific reasoning should ever be considered "settled" and immune to debate), the research methodology seems sound and I think we should be more conscious of our effect on the world. But that extends well beyond carbon though. Deforestation, pollution, habitat destruction etc. are all major problems and I don't know if there is a solution. There may not be. Much as we like to think we're enlightened and separate from nature by dint of our technology, we're still very much a part of the animal kingdom. And we, and all the living things of this earth, will end up going the way of the dodo at some point, just like 99.999% of all species already have. The earth will still be there when we're gone and will undoubtedly flourish with life until our dying sun fries and consumes it. Cheery prospect, I know. Also, much as I love snow, I'm really glad to have been born in an interglacial period. I can't even imagine the privation our ancestors put up with for 100,000 years. At least in a warming world, food production should be able to support our population. Glad I won't be around when the other half of the Milankovich cycle comes around. Ok, stream of consciousness rant sequence terminated.

Euro did pop something off the SE coast. Hard recurve would mitigate surf to some degree though. That legacy GFS would probably be a Bill redux from a waves perspective, which would be sweet.

You ever try any Medusa brews?

It's been a pretty spectacular stretch. Looks like you're making the most of it. Keep living the dream!

Some solid rumbles off the turrets to my northwest.

Tis the season for fantasy canes.

Found it. Cane footage starts around 2:30.

That was awesome. There's a video of Bob from Block Island floating around that's pretty epic too.

StormSurge and I will wave as you pass by!

Nice find. After seeing the damage in Harwich from a minor tornado, imagine the nightmare that will be New England when the next major cane comes roaring through. Hope the utilities have a big sinking fund and their disaster insurers have reinsurance.

I'm still too traumatized by what followed over the next few months to really appreciate that event.

Have you read his newest novel? It's called "Moby Dick." I hear it's receiving some critical acclaim.

Using our patented JDF (James Deflation Factor), we anticipate NWS survey findings in the EF0-EF1 range.