Hoth

I don't think it's anything too extraordinary. It's been riding along the Gulf Stream. Also, being caught up in the westerlies I think lessens effective shear. There was a hurricane that held cat 4 strength some years back in that area. Forget which one it was, but that was something to behold.

So suppression depression this year, Galveston 1900 repeat next year. Got it.

2017 springs to mind. Not that a repeat is in the offing.

Put it this way, hurricane Andrew hadn't even formed by this date in 1992. The Atlantic often gets off to a slow start. But it only takes one.

Congratulations! Let me know when your book hits the press. I'm always game for a good yarn.

I'm afraid I don't have a peer-reviewed source handy. I don't indulge in such Rapture cult classics as contrails, HAARP weather control and flatardation, so odds are wherever I came across the CME stuff probably merited at least the benefit of a doubt. Wanna say it came up as part of an interview with Sir Roger Penrose, but he's more a pure math/physics guy, so I could be off base.

Re: humanity's rise during climate quiescence, apparently we're in a relatively quiet period as far as coronal mass ejections the last 10-15K years or so. I guess they somehow extrapolated from ice samples that Carrington event level CMEs (and even more powerful) were relatively common not that long ago. You want to talk about something that could impede human advancement, there you go. A lot of things had to go right to get us where we are now. A staggering number of things. And not much has to go wrong to send us right back where we came from.

What he said.

The really high impact storms tend to be few and far between, even on the Cape and islands. For much of the 19th and early 20th century, most people were probably not even aware that they were getting hit by the remnants of a tropical system. It had been such a long time since a major strike that people largely wrote off the threat of hurricanes by the 1930s. It will be interesting to find out how woefully unprepared we are and how badly underfunded our utilities' storm sinking funds are when the next cat 2 or 3 hits us squarely on the chin.

I finally got around to power washing my house after a couple years of grime and green stuff had built up on the north side (last summer's dews were chiefly responsible). On the positive side, the house is gleaming like new. On the negative side, I set my ladder down on a yellow jacket nest and now have a lovely complement of angry welts on my calf.

Euro did pop something off the SE coast. Hard recurve would mitigate surf to some degree though. That legacy GFS would probably be a Bill redux from a waves perspective, which would be sweet.

Found it. Cane footage starts around 2:30.

That was awesome. There's a video of Bob from Block Island floating around that's pretty epic too.

Nice find. After seeing the damage in Harwich from a minor tornado, imagine the nightmare that will be New England when the next major cane comes roaring through. Hope the utilities have a big sinking fund and their disaster insurers have reinsurance.

Maybe, but how deep does that warm water go? Any large storm will upwell cold water in front of it. A high end cat 3, low end 4 into SNE would require a truly extraordinary, if not perfect series of events.

I don't believe New England has ever had a cat 4 strike. Maybe 1635. Maybe.

Looks great Steve. And yeah, coyotes are a menace. Most of the outdoor cats in my neighborhood have disappeared in the last few years. I was distressed last week to find a dead fawn in my shed that had one leg missing and another chewed up. I have no idea how it escaped its attackers, but glad it found a quiet place to expire.

Yeah there's that saying that a weed is anything that grows where you don't want it to. That particularly flower (not sure what it is) just happens to like coming up in my lawn, but it does look nice in a shaded wooded area. I've been focusing on planting things that aid pollinators and hummingbirds recently. I've had a ton of ruby throats this year.

Something I usually mow over.

What kind are they? My lace cap hydrangeas went gangbusters this year, but I got zilch from the traditional ones. Thinking it's because I didn't cut them back last fall.

I certainly won't cheer on a direct hit (don't want to see destruction to life and property), but at some point it's bound to happen and a hurricane is one of the few weather phenomenon I haven't directly experienced. (Too young for Gloria, in northern VT during Bob, Irene and Sandy were kinda meh in Boston). I'm probably more excited to have hurricanes to track soon. It's a long gap between late nor'easter threats and cane season, and one can only weenie out over heat and dews so much.

Yup. I think Koepka's gonna do it again. Dude is a beast.

Interesting. They are all over my place.

My folks planted one in their yard when my brother was born. It's as tall as the house now and a beautiful tree. Who knew all the seedlings they pull every year could be so valuable with a little more tending?