DeltaT13

These tables are in a pretty sheltered place. I’m not trying to suppress numbers, we just haven’t gotten much yet. 

1 minute ago, tim123 said:

I think your way off. But we shall see

I can only hope I’m wrong. The last big synoptic storm pounded me with some of the heaviest rates I’ve ever seen and we still somehow only managed 11 inches. It’s just hard to get a truly big one these days.    But I will admit the upstream moisture feed right now is very impressive. 

Winds are starting to pick up nicely out of the north now.  Blowing and drifting should be significant overnight!

I’ll be able to provide a good number as soon as I get home and clear the board. 

Just now, rochesterdave said:

That’s hard to believe. Pittsford had 1.5 when I left at 10:30 and Rochester has had moderate snow since. Have you measured?

I've only walked outside my building and poked around.  It's just not amounting to much. It's like magic snow, except its not the fun kind of magic...  

9 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Seems like the 6 to 12 nws is forecasting will be grossly underdone. Additional from 3km nam

You cut that number in half and you get 9-10 inches which seems right on track to be honest, and I'd be more than happy with 10 for this storm.  

On a positive note, temp is down to 24 and the sun sets in an hour or so which certainly plays in our favor

Roc creeping along at a snails pace, right around 2 inches so far.  Got a long way to go to hit the 12-18 but deeper moisture is finally starting to show up on radar.  

1 minute ago, 96blizz said:

Euro 10:1.  Have we talked about ratios yet?  

This map certainly has the most reasonable numbers.  Seems like Buffalo will go higher than those but overall I think this is where we end up.  A great storm for almost this whole forum (Sorry Catskills posters  )

Probably only a new inch on the ground here so far, max diurnal heating right now which is hurting us.  Things should really ramp up later this afternoon with sunset and the primary push of moisture.  I can see some subtle hints of lake enhancement on a NNE wind.  I'm being patient with such a nice long duration event.  

9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Its like that clip from the movie snow day 

hahaha, EXACTLY how I feel

Just now, TugHillMatt said:

You love the damaging wind gusts your truck produces as you soar down neighborhood streets, don't you?

Maybe I could install some turbines or fans in the bed of the truck to give it a boost of wind as I cruise through the "impassable" roads.  

19 minutes ago, Leelee said:

Living in an area where roads are well plowed and taken care of makes all the difference. I've been in both sides of that, and turned me into more of a snow 'weenie' over time.

4" so far in Amherst, this should be a 12"+ storm here. 

Yeah, it actually takes a lot of the fun out of storms with how well things are handled around here.  Some nights when I'm out chasing I get so sad when I see a plow ruining all the fun.  Would love to have a storm where there were no plows or salts trucks for 24 hours.  Just let that snow pile up on the roads!

Moderate snow with respectable dendrites right now!   A nice start to things.  Going to be tough getting work done today and I'll be in a lab with no windows 

19 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

You gotta love when NWS bulks up the maps just as the snow begins. Snowing in Pittsford. Gonna be a long drive to VT today. Nothing too treacherous. That comes tonight!

Hope you have a great trip. You ended getting a WAY better weekend than I did. I’d do anything to be driving to Vermont today in a storm. All my favorite things in one. 

Lots of glancing blows from clippers with deep arctic air/lake effect chances in the next couple weeks. This winter will a solid “B” for me if the latest Gfs run tonight verified verbatim. Quite the pattern we’ve been in for awhile now.

If this current storm give us a foot we’ll have well over a foot on the ground for the better part of the next two weeks which is actually highly unusual even for this typically snowy area; and especially in light of recent climate change. If we keep a foot or better snowpack for 12 days it would be only the third time since the mid 1980s.  Quite the feat!

If that’s the real rain snow line, it’s surging through now! Things should start changing over fast 

23 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said:

Embrace this event... It may very well be the only event in a long long time that our whole upstate, cny, wny, eny, (and hopefully our bgm and southeastern members) get a uniform 8-14" event...

Hell it could even end up being the biggest general synoptic event for some of us for the next couple of years. It’s happened before. 

Rain snow line is holding strong but the last few frames it starts making a little progress SE if you look over western Lake Ontario. 

5 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

So they increased amounts again?

No, this is the regional map that is always out to lunch.  

10 minutes ago, vortmax said:

Wow, this storm doesn't seem to be exciting anyone....or maybe rain obs aren't very exciting.

I think things will pick up once we change over.  Seems like tomorrow evening will be the prime time.

28 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said:

 Because it's the 1st warm day where it wouldn't turn your car into an  ice shell... And any time you can get extra salt off your car... the better.

I guess this is the logic but I pass a delta sonic a lot of days and it's slammed regardless of temperature.  I mean even days in the teens and the line is long.  

8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

My car has been through a month of frigid cold, snow and ice. I did quite a bit of chasing around the area and got into some deep stuff. There was salt all over that thing and underneath. If you use that logic you should never get a carwash in winter as we usually have 3-4 months of this. Salt would eat away at the car over the course of that time period. Should I get a car wash in November and wait until March for my 2nd one? I got rid of all the salt/snow residue that accumulated on my car the last few weeks. The longer its on there the more damage it causes.

Taking your last statement, you are only getting about 12 hours at most with the salt off.  Not a good return on investment.  Just my two cents, you do you man.  It's not my money.

3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

My car has been through a month of frigid cold, snow and ice. I did quite a bit of chasing around the area and got into some deep stuff. There was salt all over that thing and underneath. If you use that logic you should never get a carwash in winter as we usually have 3-4 months of this. Salt would eat away at the car over the course of that time period. Should I get a car wash in November and wait until March for my 2nd one? I got rid of all the salt/snow residue that accumulated on my car the last few weeks. The longer its on there the more damage it causes.

Well I washed my truck when I got home from Vemont on Sunday, which gave me a few days to enjoy a clean truck and let it dry out.  Just seems like if you waited until today it was too late.  I'll probably wash it again this weekend after these next couple days of chasing and when we have a solid week or so before the next storm.

4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Great day to get a car wash, lines were insane. Hit 46 on my car thermometer.

NAM

What's the logic to getting a car wash 12 hours before it will be absolutely obliterated with salt and road slop?  I could see getting it this previous Sunday when you would have gotten a few days of dry roads. 

6 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said:

ya, its definitely slower than what we originally anticipated. How many hours you think left for Hamilton? My guess is around 5-7pm but originally I thought 2-4pm and I have to keep pushing it back 

Probably 6-8pm, sunset will start to accelerate the fronts progress a bit as diurnal cooling lends a hand.