DeltaT13

Well yeah man! I want nothing more than 5”/hr. I’m trying to figure out the best we can do with a stupid cutter.

It’s always interesting to see the setup when Hawaii gets a big shot of cold and snow. In this scenario, an unbelievably deep and explosive mid latitude cyclone explodes off the coast of Russia deepening 40mb in about 24 hours. This forces a massive downstream ridge that then pinches off a chunk of arctic air over the central pacific. It gets hung up for a few days as a cutoff low.

That’s a good trend for me. I’d love to see the frontal passage closer to kickoff (only because I think a true lake band is completely off the table at this point) because about 40 mins after the cold front is usually the peak times for gusts. The ideal setup is a frontal passage around 730 while tailgating. Then winds ramping up big time right into kickoff and through the first half with gusts to 50-60. Then by second half we have scrappy snowflakes and a stiff breeze as temps plummet. Perhaps getting a coating on the field. I think that’s about the most interesting scenario right now.

Heck yeah, that’s why I couldn’t miss this game even though it’s looking like it’ll just be high winds by game time. I mean I’m super pumped just to see a meaningful and exciting Monday night game in Buffalo. Exciting weather is just the icing on the cake.

It's a sharp cold front plowing through 50 degree air. Seems plausible.

So I've thought a lot about the vax and the potential side effects and I think a couple things are clear. If a person had bad side effects from the vax, then covid itself was probably going to cause the exact same issues, if not worse. The vax initiates virtually the same response as the virus, just in a controlled dose. So if the guy that got blood clots and lost his sight didn't get vaxed, he might have gotten worse blood clots and died had he caught covid. Therefore it wasn't necessarily the vax, its that persons body is particular vulnerable to this type of virus. Also, if you got the first 2 doses and had no issues, there is almost no reason to think that the booster would cause an issue, your body luckily didn't have that rare and unfortunate reaction to the virus or vaccine spike proteins. Now when they change the formula for the next variant, that could changes things a bit, so if I were you, I'd grab the exact same brand booster before they change things up.

Well I officially have tickets now so I'll be there!

I just came in to post this. I was at that bizarre game. It was all field goals until the fourth quarter. Not the Tom Brady shootout I was expecting. A snoozer of a game to be honest. I threw some great cornhole in the parking lot beforehand which was the highlight of the night, lol.

The wind bringeth, and the wind taketh.

I really need gusts above 50mph to get my juices flowing. But since it’s been so damn dead I guess I’ll have to accept this as it’s better than nothing.

Holy crap, Bing winning again for now.

If the Bills get a dome I'll quit being a fan after more than 40 years. That has to be one of the lamest things I've seen posted on this site in awhile (no offense to you). The Buffalo Bills are known as a gritty tough team, we don't need no stinking dome. Dome's shouldnt be allowed anywhere in this sport. The whole point is to play in the elements.

I know last winter wasn't amazing for most of us, but the four week period from January 22 to late February was pretty damn incredible, 50 inches of snow over 4 weeks without a thaw in my backyard. If you have a job where you can take a last minute day off, there were some all timer days on the slopes last year. I had phenomenal days at Holiday (lake effect dump on 1/19, they got buried), Bristol, Greek Peak, and Gore. The Greek Peak day was one of the deepest powder days I've ever had on the East Coast, but you have to be able to adapt on the fly around here. Some of my friends have to schedule days off months in advance, that doesn't work out well for them... I give last winter a B- overall, but the skiing was pretty great.

I'm even fine with a rain game, I just want some kind of inclement miserable weather. Nothing more boring than a bluebird football game. Give me rain, give me wind, but most of all, give me SNOW. Stubhub seems to have a lot of reasonable tix up in the 300's, and thats the best place to be in shitty weather!

GAHHH.....I don't have tickets and imagine they are crazy expensive in the aftermarket. The models have been bouncing between a rain storm and snow storm. If its a snow game I'll be devastated if I can't be there.

Yup, the median for that data set is 3.1". Standard Deviation is 6.2" All in all, November is not a winter month around here in general. You can catch some bonus snow some years, but I would never get my hopes up in November. I would go further and say that anytime prior to December 15th is still wishful thinking if you want consistent cold and snow.

Alright, crunched some numbers to see how Novembers snow stats have fared in the ROC since the year 2000. 2000 7.3 2001 0.1 2002 16.9 2003 5.4 2004 1.9 2005 7.8 2006 0.5 2007 1.7 2008 11 2009 0.1 2010 0.4 2011 0.3 2012 0.8 2013 13.5 2014 9.1 2015 1.2 2016 15 2017 2.6 2018 17.4 2019 17.8 2020 1.2 2021 3.6 Average 6.2" If we remove the 5 somewhat outlier years with greater than 13" of snow, the average falls to 3.1" which puts 2021 pretty close to on par with the typical year. I didnt realize the back to back big Novembers of 2018 and 2019 were so anomalous now that I see a larger data set.

Getting zero snow in November is always on the table for Roc and WNY. The fact that we’ve had snow in the air a good 7 or 8 days is impressive in my opinion. It can take until January some years before we really establish a wintry pattern. I agree that the expectations around here seem higher than normal and quite out of touch to be honest.

Sitting at 32.5 degrees here with perfect snow globe snow. The radar looks waaay better than I had expected. Should be a snowy afternoon in the roc!

Since you basically now have the statewide snowfall lead, you aren’t allowed to say the word sizzle until at least the new year.

Finally ran out of space on here (again). It’s silly that we have to delete those files. Completely ruins this forum from being a really nice weather archive as all the old posts reference pics and data that is no longer there. I’d gladly pay a fee to just have a couple GBs of space on here.

Looks like the upstream connections are just now finally starting to lock in. Orleans county lighting up a bit in those last few frames. Might be some surprises overnight. It looks pretty damn healthy upstream.

Oh that’s bizarre. They probably don’t even remember the right date. Lol.

This storm happened on 12/16/21. You’re a month early on this anniversary.

Dang, getting screwed on the East and North Sides I guess. I guess the one that confuses me most is Sunday night when it snowed steadily for about 4-5 hours (7pm-midnight) areawide as that sloppy disorganized low came through and I thought hit all of WNY. I have no idea how you didnt get snow from that setup.