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DeltaT13

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Everything posted by DeltaT13

  1. DeltaT13
  2. DeltaT13
    Ok well now that I’m in the red stuff it’s the weirdest mix of enormous flakes and sleet. Much easier to drive in but I should probably go back north and get into the snow.
  3. DeltaT13
    This has to be some of the heaviest snow I’ve ever been in. Ever. Its very hard to drive but also incredible
  4. DeltaT13
    Most of the high res models showed it filling in quickly.
  5. DeltaT13
    That graph was from my Davis unit. But you could probably download the tempest data and find it.
  6. DeltaT13
    Looking at these 500mb charts, you can see that the two waves finally begin merging right between 7pm and 1am. Look at how diffluent the upper levels are over central and western Pa in the second frame! That drives a ton of surface based upward vertical motion and the surface low pressure surges NW. Not good for anyone east of the Genny. Going to be some incredible rates for those who stay all snow though.
  7. DeltaT13
    You can see layers of sleet moving through that area with the correlation coefficient
  8. DeltaT13
    Less amped might mean further East and less mid level warming. We take?
  9. DeltaT13
    1am to 7am looks to be our peak. This will be a long night and a sleepy Monday but that’s how she rolls. If there wasn’t football on I’d be sleeping now.
  10. DeltaT13
    Snowboard is cleared. About 1 inch on the ground to start things off. Snow is entering the southern tier. Very excited for tonight.
  11. DeltaT13
    He’s cross calibrating it to the Rochester airports ruler. It’s a tricky process.
  12. DeltaT13
    10 hours and 7500 miles later, my backyard weather station recorded the compression wave from the Hunga Tonga volcano eruption. Pretty awesome.
  13. DeltaT13
    Am I really going to chase this thing at 3am? Seems like it could actually be worth it with crazy rates for a couple hours. Look at the forcing on the RGEM
  14. DeltaT13
    It’s definitely on my mind but I think we get a 50 mile eastward shift during the final run up the coast. Also im hoping any warm layer is fleeting as it’s wraps into the backside of this. Genny valley is it the battle zone.
  15. DeltaT13
    Yeah I feel like I’m in a perfect position here in KROC Even the tiniest jog East puts us squarely in the crosshairs.
  16. DeltaT13
    I hope you never get snow again.
  17. DeltaT13
    That was a super elevation dependent storm if I’m remember it correctly. Had to be over 2000 feet for any snow.
  18. DeltaT13
    I have no idea what you’re thinking of but we didn’t even get an inch in April of 2005
  19. DeltaT13
    But look at how the isobars are actually broader and more spread out. The placement of little L isn’t all that critical compared to how the overall pressure gradient is worse for wny.
  20. DeltaT13
    BUF: 13 ROC: 14 (not including late lake effect) SYR: 8 BGM: 4
  21. DeltaT13
    I can think of 2 that just barely fit that criteria in the last 4 years. But yeah, not many big hits in recent memory. This would be nice.
  22. DeltaT13
    This storm keeps getting deeper so perhaps dynamic cooling is now coming into play on the western side?
  23. DeltaT13
    There will be hundreds of amazing gifs and loops in the coming days. I’ve already seen dozens of them on Twitter. What an incredible explosion. I saw peoples weather stations in Australia over 3000km picked up the compression wave on their barometers.
  24. DeltaT13
    Just remember the smallest grid spacing is the highest resolution.
  25. DeltaT13
    I’ve missed a few pages here so maybe someone mentioned this but I noticed something interesting tonight. A mere 36 hours ago this looked like a double phase with that nice little secondary kicker. By tonight there appears to be another obvious shortwave just upstream of the first kicker which seems to be creating a deeper and more negatively tilted phase. That is likely what is moving everything so far west.
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