No real idea, looking for some input. Is there anything to the low level circulation of the winds down near Louisiana coast? Could that be where the LP tries to "jump south" over the next few hours as some of the models show?
Just locked in the trip, driving up the 10 hours to the cabin tomorrow afternoon. I have never seen so much consistency for a single location - the last 6 GFS and last 3 or 4 Euro all printing 14+. I'll take 1/2 of that an no power outages and be super happy!
Thinking about coming up again and getting the storm I wanted 2 weekends ago... reading that main thread made me almost change my mind about wanting to come. LOL... it's looking like that Mitchell/McDowell line this time around could be close to jackpot on the last several runs
Stuck at 43 up here on the Mitchell/McDowell line. Worried the cold air isn't going to come fast enough and totals are going to be slashed from the models. Changeover was supposed to be around 4, but I don't think we see it until 5 or later.
Ok... I've been watching and reading. I think I'm in a good spot and excited for the kids (we'll, me too) but tempering expectations. I'll consider 4+ a win with 6+ and 3 on the ground a jackpot
I'm optimistic. Seems I'm going to be right on the border of the heaviest rain/snow line. Hopefully with the elevation, it means we'll puke a few hours! With those kind of rates, should overcome the warm ground pretty quickly too
Noticing on most of the models I'm right on the edge between bigger totals and nothing. I'm right on the McDowell/Mitchell line. Is that a result of being on the escarpment?
Big flips. I have a feeling we're going to see 6+ or flurries. Reminds me of living on LI when the forecast was for 18+ or maybe a really hard cold rain