Typhoon Tip

Oh I see… You meant literally. Yeah Fitchburg 100 on Sunday now hmm You know I've been noticing ... MEX had been adding a tick every day for the last three days .., it was already up to 97 today anyway. I'll tell you what if the Nam removes just a couple more clouds on Saturday you got two days 100 back to back that's got to be some kind a longevity record to go along with those ridiculous thicknesses

It's hotter tomorrow and Saturday too I think it's just finally caught on…

And pass up that trophy? Never be able to tell your grandkids you actually mowed lawn in 101° heat

Now there are 7 straight back to back intervals on the FRH grid having thickness at or > 580dm. Never happened over Logan. Note, these are not hypsometric heights. They are thickness ... which requires moisture inclusion I have a hunch that is the longest series ever at that latitude and longitude for that high of a modeled thickness. If so ... you know, there are hot day circumstances where the ratio of water vapor and temperature allows the temperature to excel higher perhaps then what it will be tomorrow Saturday or Sunday. But to sustain thickness that high for that length of time means that is probably "thermodynamically" a record

Wow the new man just took the lid off the heat holy crap nuclear mushroom cloud Even has tomorrow 2-meter temperature close to 94. it was struggling to make the upper 80s in previous cycles 8 o'clock in the morning if this is right, it's still going to be 68° and then at 4:30 in the afternoon just hell You gotta appreciate i mean to see the temperature rise 25 to 30° from 68 - that's gonna be weird that's not something you normally see. I mean around here.

Tan put some interesting comments out ... One of the top CIPS is apparently July 22 2011. I can think of one difference though… There's no cold front at 7 PM to rescue the region Saturday night. That's going to be really interesting to monitor… I really think elevated min records are also at risk two consecutive days of high heat warnings

Yeah... but I wonder if A, that's true - not to discredit or impugn anyone, but it doesn't seem like anyone's taking that seriously. Well I guess just A -

I sense anger welling ...

August may be a long month

The record in Boston for Saturday is 99 ...

So has this switched to more of a Sunday thing ... seems this threads opener describes Sunday more succinctly - Saturday one would think we are capped and searing ... exclusively.

it's not so silly tho ... I figured this out long ago, with stunning success in every scenario where a wedge job is terminating and you're negotiating with a warm boundary - in fact...it's never failed really ... If you dawn in the calm, by evening you will balm. That's the motto. If there is even so much as a wobbling flag or leaf from the NE ? The models WILL be too fast. ...simply a matter of how much.. However, if it's calm early in the discussion ... the warm front has a fighting chance. Right now there is a strong warm front on the analysis extending roughly from Erie PA to PHL and it's parked close by this little bubble break in the heat. It just "looks" like that high is being ganged up on ... heh. The warm front poised in wait just watching the clock -

I kinda don't blame 'im ... I'd be annoyed - Nothing worse than a com's outage crossing day-5 to day-4 ... after the Euro's had a iffy historic bomb for the entire mid range. Oh... but rest assured, the NAM to the rescue! With it barely able to see the time frame at 84 ...but only extrapolates to cirrus... phew! It's like ... you fuggers did that shit on purpose - In this case, they planned this site outage ... They probably have the parts sitting in the back of a van and are waiting to come and outfit the site with whatever it needs at 4:34 Monday afternoon.

Yeah ... that's it.. has to be. I think central/N parts of the s-forum are closer to the actual conveyor there... There is a front astride the SL seaway on the Can side and that's helping to ( maybe ) stir things up a tad. Either way, if the theta-e stagnates in the high 70s yup - suck away clicks off the top.

hahaah LOL... crying

Bingo! That's ...basically what I hope Hoth encounters for having the audacity of actually helping someone with a good deed -

that's actually interesting .. hm. should be we believe it? thing is, the MOS isn't just the raw adiabats ...tinted by clouds or whatever as we both knows...blah blah. But, at times like these, when that looks that way I wonder what happened in the past ...what similar set up doink BDL from winning against your every day MHT's... wow. Hopefully, it was when Kevin was trophy foisting -

ha ha... you dope. oh man - that's funny... well, with any luck, it'll be the third floor up a non-ventilated stairwell like you see in a '70s gritty ghetto film, and the actual living space is a converted attic with all the associated thermodynamics of the typical urban tripleplex - hopefully ...there's that one piece of furniture that can't get around the corners so you have to stall and wait it out while someone dinks around with with a screw driver taking foot pegs off ... "oh - shit. flat- heads"

Ha! word

For BDL and BOS, ... I'm pretty close to droppin' bills down against the dealer on this, yup - It's gonna be close... I've seen it be like 81 at Logan for four consecutive hours, then at 4:55 ...just before the light umbra tips a glow over the eastern horizon they weasel a 78.4 for a two minute spike. Not sure about Worcester tho - the impetus of the prior post was "urban"? The air port is 1,000 set up on a plateau well removed from that. Not sure that site'll maintain the same thermal bubble as the former.

Yeah I've been picking away at NAM numbers with this myself... It's either onto something, or is somehow bugging out on moisture handling I suspect. Not sure which way to go. Thing is...it's not theoretically impossible that DPs are so anomalously high that they effectively 'rob' thermal energy away from the kinetic side of PV=NRT. When the mass (N) increases, in order to keep the pressure*volume product from violating planetary arguments ...the temperature has to drop ... it's just math. Anyway, if the WV is extraordinary... that could hold keep the temp from gaudy numbers ... I don't know ..haha.. .It's like Will said the other day. Who the f even cares man... 94/78 vs 100/72 ? really - ...like that matters to 99.9999999999999% of anyone 'cept the loons you find in here that alter life trying to pin it down..

Heh...gives me a chuckle seeing thickness modeled to within a tick or two of 580 dm over PF country ... where we brag about hidden cove snow into mid Junes -

Yeah ..agree.. the thing is... we talk about nocturnals being held unsually high ... holy ass gas man! Saturday night is going to be something really freakish... I wonder what it would be like at 3 am in the core of any brick and mortar, steel and glass urban centers. That's important...because as hot as Saturday looks...the launch pad Sunday morning is like a trust fund brat born rounding third telling everyone how hard they worked for their home run in life when it's 97, above MOS .. only 11am on Sunday morning. I could see that happening... sure. 82 for a low in urbania ... mm. Something I've been wondering...if daily elevated miminum records might be broken. We may cap 96/78 Sat afternoon ...fine. But, given the synoptics, where ever that happens, good look whittling off degrees after dark.

Much better! and thanks bro -

I've never seen that before from that particular data source. It's the NAM's FOUS (FRH) grid... BOS LGA 36000697256 -2595 072416 82292317 36000726126 -6093 102009 81302417 42000815251 -0196 072716 80272318 42061857676 -9995 122519 78262316 48000863332 -1096 093010 80262217 48000927059 01095 112708 80262517 54000573930 -0996 092303 81312317 54000626240 00692 102607 81322417 60000574640 -1794 072207 82312519 Those bold-raised fonts are the thickness ... 582 dm ... 581 dm... so on.. Having one is unusual...and rare. I've seen 580+ on one or two intervals, ...several times since the mid 2000's years ( re the other debate; I don't recall ever seeing thicknesses that high when this product was "ETA" ... way back whence, but that could also be the model physics too..). I have never seen two intervals in a row over Logan ... or if I have, so infrequently that I don't recall. This is 5 intervals...back to back. That's incredible. I remember some pig heat bombs modeled back in the day ... late 1990s we had a couple bad ones where the T1 was progged to be 34 C and 26 C at 900 mb ... those did not have these attending very high anomalous H500 thickness plumbs. I'm wondering if this really is a DP thing... Like perhaps the WV is inflating the thicknesses.. It makes some intuitive sense... Take that bottom most row on the left (BOS) ... 582 thickness... ooph... But, the T1 is "only" 31 C .. but the T2 is 25C ...That's an unusually stable look for that interval - owing the the general hot profile... But, I suspect that 31 C is held in check by ...essentially being under water. It seems for 25 and 19 over top, that bottom number should be 34 C