Typhoon Tip

I think that’s a different phenomenon than dry slotting It looks like it’s abandoning the warm advection … so it lifts away from the area, but the surface front still packed south in Connecticut, Rhode Island More like a lull on the polar side of that boundary when that happens. Then the triple point starts moving into Southwest zones and it re-blossoms.

At 7am Sun it’s 48F at 900mb over Logan and 33 at the sfc

I explained all this to him last night at this time, ad nauseam … … just like others have at multiple other times spanning many years. Forget it! He’s not going to get it. He’s never going to get it. His fucking cats could explain it to him by now - it’s not going to penetrate

Yeah ... not sure if everyone knows just how thin the margin of error is on this thing from a range of a 174 hours... - not that the AI version is any kind of oracle. The few times ( not many ) I've looked I wasn't very impressed. That, btw, is the perfect subsume. That may even be more proficient than Mr king 1978

Well ...the circuitry in mind is not the act of signing FA's ... it's that they'll help manufacture Ws - that's when it happens. Bottom line, they were not doing it with whatever the f model that was they were doing the last 3 years. This signing is different in terms of their scouting behavior - I'm more interested in if we're turning the corner from asshole org

I care even less man - the last couple years have been so embarrassing. Get some bodies in there that can hit the f'ers and let's see where it goes. You have to land some over priced free agents and put some W's up there, and that attracts meatier prospects. I mean they put them selves up against ugly wall with inept and/or penny pinching bullshit and their fans stopped going to games it got so bad.

speaking of which ... they picked up a right handed bat with a career Fenway average of 375 after 21 games played there. maybe they're really trying to actually build a f'n roster rather than gaslighting their fan constituency -

by all means, .... give it a try

For winter enthusiasts ..it'd be nice if the dungeon master were to fall asleep on one and let it over-perform, then we wake up on Sunday morning to a fully loaded 20th

we may also get some partial sun in an hour

Heh...this is such a wiener schnitzel run of the eps mean... Some of those impressive western members must have stalled, too... because they just get out of control and haven't moved much in the 6 hours

oh, shit - man ...been doing that all day. That supposed to be in the PD thread... er, I think? The one for the 17th ... wtf does PD mean. President's Day that's not a "holiday weekend" c'mon man

Man these western members are something else -

Sick CAD signal for the weekend

Fwiw - the spread's definitely on the western side of the envelope here... It's also one of those deals where the members that are west, some are exceptionally deep - particularly for 180 hours

Those positive 500 mb anomalies, whether well described by the curved isohypses or not ... may provide enough impetus to to force the SPV S-SE. I'm just noting - personally - that the real reason the operational run was too late, was because this run lacks the S/Stream potency early enough in the dynamic stream interaction. The 500 mb cinema shows a multi contouring 500 mb surface is evolving with very potent DPVA already prior reaching the longitude of the NJ coast, yet... it's only got a paltry 1000 mb low passing toward the BM at that time ( 174-180 )... That is suspiciously underdone given that it's already bombing at mid levels. That should have been captured by then and gone bananas, but the problem is... the S/Stream being so weak it's not integrating those kinematics to the lower levels in time. It's trying to subsume and it can't find the it -

it's all good man

Aw cheer up ... after all "nobody knows"

Ha, that had occurred to me, m'man. However, I'm very cautiously optimistic that won't happen "as much" ... because the longer lead projections of the EPO are nominal through mid March actually. ( as in aside, the spread et al is significantly warmer local hemisphere by the Ides... but who knows - ) But - I think you touched on it earlier? - there is a +PNA ballooning between the 20th and the end of the month, this time, sans the -EPO cold hammer. It may not be a bad thing for a window of opportunity in this regime, because the flow character, being less like an elephants giant ass mashing a trampoline down, allows for more local-scale curvature to actually take place in the proverbial meshing of the trampoline...

You got the basic idea with the wave frequency aspects. The western ridge needs to probe higher in latitude, post the eject east across the continent with the Pacific goodies. That would direct the subsuming SPV more S and also, the S/Stream S/W would get a constructive interference feed-back on amplitude, and because of having more N-S total construct, ...the field necessarily slows down. etc.. But, the -d(gradient) is just to describe the back ground state of compression as alleviating some, while all that is happening. There's a kind of a disconnect - though they are related. The lowering gradient allows for frequency gains, but so far... the models are not doing that. The gradient seems to slack off a little while the frequencies stay the same. So these solutions are varying between partial and no phasing in a cosmic prick tease... haha. j/k there

I rewrote that.. but yeah, this is part of it. But it precipitates out the "molly coddling" aspect. People don't need to learn if they are provided for, and the IR and the generations since, are in a state of diminishing returns. This is part of the Fermi Paradox explanation imho, btw. As an aside, species discover adequate provisions and enhance survival, Darwinism mechanics no longer require evolution to improve, de-evolution takes over. I've referred to this in the past as the catch-22 of advancement.

It's not the cause... The issue is that the targeted audience is no longer equipped to defend their perspectives from the penetration of deception - manipulation follows. There's a reason why psychological science has recently papered a result of mass IQ's being some 20 points lower than early 20th Century. They believe weird shit back then... but that was by virtue of where humanity was in history. They knew how to use their heads, with the limited information they were exposed to, more objectively.

Heh... doesn't even just seem anymore like this, it's really true. Any one of these systems spanning the last 6 weeks of this torturing winter, in this range, whence we are in a state of 'so long as X doesn't happen' X happens. 1::1 correlation on that since Christmas

I know ...was getting mixed up this morning which storm was being covered where. HA.

Interesting .. we got zero ageostrophic llv restoring in this set up, while there is a 1030+ polar high N of Maine. Needed more meso low closure I suppose... I was waiting on a tuck response but it seems that won't happen in this case. That said, even if that happened, it's 34 or 35 as far N as Manchester NH. we wouldn't be draining freezing DPs into the quagmire, anyway. What a disgusting gloppy cold wet silvery piece of shit state of affairs it is out there. Just under 2" of snow that was ZR on top this dawn, has turned into a gray slab 1" thick of pure 7-11 slushy. That stuff out in the yards and fields and so forth is going to be quick-crete when we dip later tonight.