Typhoon Tip

impressive to see Logan sustaining an 81 on a SE 9 kt wind

are you talking about the front, or the thunderstorm triggering - i suppose you could get that pre frontal quasi dry-line trough thingy in that situation. That would actually be ahead of the better synoptic support - which I would not ever side with the NAM on synoptic timing dude. Just don't ...

It has unfortunately been exposed often enough, times of misguidance wrt to drug and vaccine therapies (regardless of why) that it's naive and ill-advised now to rely on in-office recommendations, out of hand. You instead should nod thoughtfully and tell the physician not at this time. If the they push ... particularly in that sort of situation, than you respectfully decline and tell them that you will be completing some independent research 'like you always do' before arriving to any course of action.

mm far as I can tell it's only the NAM doing that. Wouldn't trust it until more support ... but not impossible, no. I suppose if you really want it to be right so that you can engage and hopefully win another in the varied petty competitions over weather-related statements that goes on in here, there's nothing wrong with relying on it to make Kevin wrong. LOL

83 ... 35 delta

30 F recovery here so far... 48 to 78 It's only 9:30

oh..heh... just realized no one's in here. Geez, better go make sure the Iran-Russian-China axis didn't smuggle a nuke up the Potomac

I wonder if these low wind open sky lasing days over the nearby ocean will elevate the SSTs some

Heh...it's rare to do this once with near/at 0% coverage, but this is the 2nd day, back-to-back, that sat presented this at a regional scale

Looks like the GFS is still just going to ruin Sunday even if it is fed the necessary grid data that would not ruin Sunday lol. The Euro and CMC salvage that day with a cleaner fropa - though couldn't rule out terrain enhanced CB dappled around. As Jerry and I were discussing yesterday, the cold push behind that boundary isn't nearly as impressive. Weak as modeled, taking us back to seasonal as opposed to that 48 F shit. Regardless of the GFS' beady-eyed OCD agenda to destroy mirth on weekend days ... it's own MEX machine numbers are still near 80 from BDL-FIT to ASH-MHT, fwiw We probably have finally graduated to 2026's summer. We'll see what it has in store... After a possible run in with renewed heat middle of next week, there may either be a transient seasonal cool down.. or possibly we evolve a quasi Bahama Blue pattern.

48 was lower than I imagined we would be last night. huh. Considering machine numbers tickle the chode hairs of 90, a 40+ is gonna challenge some delta records for the date.

good line of higher CAPEed convection 21z on Saturday outta do the trick.

Yeah... it's the yellow shit. I think that's pine ?

Anyone that's under a CB negative CAPE is probably getting a 1/2" or more in 20 minutes, tho. Regionally? doesn't look like a soaker for now but there's a couple days

ha... no one is "using" anything. understood - that's not the purpose of the post.