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Typhoon Tip

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  1. Didn't this happen last week? 80 to 90, Mon-Wed, followed by a piece of shit weekend? huh
  2. all the way to 78 here in Ayer. wow. That 77 next door in KFIT's a pretty big MOS bust
  3. I love that when that happens. We're suddenly alleviated here in the last hour. Steady morning rains bangin' away at the awnings had become sort of hypnotic. Somewhere between that state and a sun burst just splashed through the windows me must of finally escaped - or begun the break out process.
  4. except that the trees will be dripping through 4 pm LOL
  5. models keep insisting ...some more aggressively so than others, that the rains end and the sky parts over the next 3 hours, west to east. Even some hints at a rapid temp recovery. we'll see. Right now this band appears to be over performing compared to the NAM/Euro.
  6. mm what stands out to me is that all these operational runs are wildly colder than their respective ensemble clusters at 850 mb by several degrees. Just a-priori on operational model guidance in meridian/slope flow types, they tend to carry an amplitude bias in the mid range to a significant correlation frequency. I'll concede if by hour 72 the means have deepened, otherwise for this type of synoptic hemisphere we've seen this kind of cold sell before.
  7. not sure about the resolution of this CPC product, nor therein ...how well it reflects the real physical state out there but this looks like the deeper warm plume's slightly shrinking
  8. I think in world with so many moving parts in parallel, it should be just as possible to have MDW be fluid based upon whether god's being an asshole or not. Oh, rain - fuck you! next weekend's MDW. Rain again? fuck you again... keep on going until god stops being a fuckin asshole
  9. man sometimes i frustrate that these models have been covertly corrupted to finding the coldest physical solution quantum mechanically possible in the CC world ... like to hide it or something. fuckin gfs piece of shit
  10. 12z CMC trended better for summer enthusiasts ... it's something.
  11. 39 to 60... Funny, it was 38 here this am when I crept down the stair. 'The house is chillier down here', apparently having finally forgotten the warmth the other day. Typically it takes 30 or so hours for the 'thermal edifice memory' to fade. I debated flipping the compressor to heat mode. It was just 59. I don't think it's improved much. Something about May-22nd pisses me off enough to stubbornly prevent myself. SO... ah, 61 ..I may as well just open the windows now and let the warm air in. Winning
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