Typhoon Tip

Canadian still strapping us to a shit eating machine but thankfully ...we don't trepidate over that particular model. HA

Might go variable cloudiness Saturday in that look ( pure GFS that is...).

I think Kevin lives in the 'thermometer housing' at the BDL tarmac

GFS saves Saturday and Sunday from rain... dry NE of New York City

94 and 95 over at NWS' sites 2 mi from mi casa Weather conditions for: Harvard Rest Area, MA (MAEOT - BOX) Elev: 328.0 ft; Lat/Lon: 42.51834/-71.60300 Date/Time (L) Temp. (°F) Dew Point (°F) Relative Humidity (%) Heat Index (°F) Wind Direction Wind Speed (mph) Road Temp. (°F) May 19, 12:05 pm 94 60 32 94 NW 11G21 May 19, 12:00 pm 95 60 31 95 W 9G16 108 May 19, 11:55 am 95 61 32 95 W 4G18 107 May 19, 11:45 am 95 62 34 96 NW 3G15 105 May 19, 11:40 am 95 59 30 94 WNW 4G11 105 May 19, 11:35 am 95 61 32 96 SW 4G12 May 19, 11:30 am 106 May 19, 11:25 am 94 63 36 96 W 1G16 May 19, 11:20 am 94 62 34 95 W 8G17

I think you might be conflating with your alternate life fantasy here -

I bet ORH pops 90 they're 88 for now but there's literally 0 inhibition to maximizing this bad boy today. 95 here... one more ob before noon proper

Problem with that idea is that the NINO is not a raging hard one yet. It's formulating... Now ...maybe that's enough? I don't know. But having the NINO in place, already registering an influence in the atmosphere, which this isn't ...yet, is a different animal.

NAM seems to be delaying the front by 3 or so hours over priors...that might make the difference for HFD-LWM axis/E

93

I thought the other day the models were too liberal with theta-e advection/pooling N/E of NYC just because the the antecedence has been a bit of a dry anomaly. Not sure if that'll be the case ...buuut, right turning clusters Pacman gobbling CAPE toward the source seems like an option in this synopsis, either way.

86 to 88 at 10 am in the local area. Looking at higher res vis sat, clouds don't appear to be an option. Very low wind to offer ventilation... Does this solitary afternoon end up being the biggest heat of the summer?

Hilarious ... thing is, ...I wondered that last winter. Seriously. I mean, I ask and ask and looked it up, and no one/source could give me a clear a-b-c, much less impression, about how these tools derive their values. Looked suspiciously like derivatives have nothing to do with it. Anyway, perhaps there's something about their "mechanics" that is more than lesser known these days. Haven't followed thru. But I tongue-in-cheek mused that these AI tools were just Google on steroids, going out and reading the entire Internet cloud, where there's obviously a fairly large/significant influence statistic of Ineedsnow mongers ... That would explain why the snow was always farther N-W ... etc haha.

84 ... feels meaner