Harry
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Everything posted by Harry
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Loved the 18 I got. Hated the next day because I had shoveld the night before as the snow was letting up only to find the bitter cold winds undid it all. Only time since I have moved here they told people here they were not allowed to drive on the streets.
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After 12z runs tomorrow I'll start paying closer attention to the short range stuff. Thus inside of 36 hrs.
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No argument from me about 13-14. That is was. Could be a very long time before this area sees over 100 inches let alone just a shade above 117. That record should hold for a while I suspect.
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Outside of Christmas I won't argue that. Strange winter for sure.
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I keep forgetting that about the Christmas event and in my case Les which it went overboard with. The clue in that ( Les speaking ) was the strong winds and bitter cold temps which resulted in pixie dust flakes and banding that got ripped apart initially. Fooled a few because of the November Les event around here. Temps were not bitter and wind wasn't as strong but enough to bring the better banding further inland vs normal.
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We may end up with the desired track for sure but I still worry a little about thermal profiles. Gonna need those heavier rates to get some decent totals.
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Any little thing helps us at this point with those kinds of trends atleast.
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Great thing about the site I use is it allows me to put county lines and interstates on top. Great for spotting smaller changes that may not as seem as obvious without that.
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It's actually a bit se. 18z took the slp over top my head while 00z keeps it south. 0 line stays near/just south of here vs 18z which got it up to Grand Rapids and kept it north of here.
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MJO phase 7 usually delivers the goods to us in S.MI. Phase 6 further west/nw vs phase 8 se.
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In the past I have found that way is a bit more reliable especially where qpf amounts is concerned.
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That I think was a region wide epic winter. It's also Lansings record with nearly 95' inches. Near certain it went over a 100 here. We need one of those kinds of winters stat! Talk about hyper active.
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They are and by a bit at that.
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Wow. Sorry to hear that. Hopefully they revisit it.
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Gotta agree with this. Recall the crazy amounts of snow the euro held into up around msp as well? Great thing about these forums and recent events is it doesn't take long to see how the models etc performed which I am about to do as I know I have forgotten things even recent. One thing I do know is the offices here etc had the heaviest ice too far north.
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Most around here would have slit thier throats during the 30s, 40s, and 50s around these parts especially the 30s and 40s which only saw this area break the 40inch mark once I do believe which is incredible considering the last 23 years or so which hasn't seen a winter below 40 once. Only below 50 twice. Have to imagine away from the lake belts were worse off?
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Wonder what they are using? Was near certain the one I use is set at 10-1? Maybe not?
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Think I need to change my shorts after viewing the 18z gfs. Certain it's overdone but still with this site set at 10-1 ratios near 15 is always nice to see. Yeah Friday is looking like one of those heavy wet snows around here which while they are scenic could be a problem here especially with the wind and saturated soils that's not good for the trees.
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My biggest issue was the relentless cloudy, drizzle, upper 30s/low 40s days and even nightd. Had they been more like yesterday and especially today my grade would be a bit higher. What pushes my grade higher then most was the White Christmas and the Nov Les event which dropped 21+ here. The ice I never lost power ( unlike many others around here ) so I got to enjoy the beauty of it which scores a few brownie points. Still a bit to consider so no grade yet.
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Historically our best storms have come when that is near neutral.
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Best thing going for those of us in southern MI is the mjo emerging in phase 7. Usually a ideal spot to be for those wanting a more southerly track across IN/OH.
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If I can I will. This phone acts retarded sometimes and I am not sure if I exceeded my limits here as I think there used to be one?
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I'll pass on both..
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I am gonna have a backyard full of downed trees and power lines . Ugh
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Yeah I keep forgetting about the ole stove. Thankfully this house does have a fireplace as well.
