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Iceagewhereartthou

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Everything posted by Iceagewhereartthou

  1. Last 4 mornings have been 27, 28, 29, and 30. I sense a trend.
  2. Wow, not sure I've ever seen anything quite like that modeled. But that NEGA/ Upstate warm bubble though! This model needs a serious update.
  3. That's not what I said. I thought it was pretty obvious my post was a bit tongue in cheek (just a bit skeptical about the possibilities going forward, especially through the lens of significant warmth in recent years), but maybe it wasn't. But it doesn't matter. Let's all let it go and stay on topic of mid to long range.
  4. NC has done well for the most part. The two Dec storms were good to most of you and you all had a good March a couple of years ago. Just hasn't been quite enough of a cold push for areas further south. Almost but not quite.
  5. Yep, very close. The high pressure jumped from Canada to Penn down to Delmarva and back to NY with each 3 hour jump. If it could have stayed just a little further south and a tick stronger it could have put a lot more people in the game. The Low is also interesting, very weak until it forms of the SC coast. Need it just a tad bit south.
  6. It's too bad the track isn't further south or it could be a good event for some. I'm already down to 37 with clear skies, of course it will rise 5-8 degrees when it clouds up but...
  7. Except most of those winters took place before 2010, you know, when it actually got cold every now and then. Most of us haven't even had a close call yet. Not to mention we're well past 1/15 and it's not looking good. Still, theres hope.
  8. Ok so I know it's TWC and all but it shows my lowest temp over the next 15 days as 36 and reaching 67 on Monday. Seriously? What a pathetic winter. BTW, just looked back at daily temps for the winter of 2011-2012, when GSP went w/o a trace. This winter has been SIGNIFICANTLY warmer. Just wow at this winter so far.
  9. Hard to believe its snowing in the mtns today; mid 50s in the upstate.
  10. Well good news for you; you don't have to wait for it to end, it never started!
  11. Others are better at this but I think the 12z looks better. It's a tick SW with a sharper western trough. Then there's the energy over VA on the 12z that is much less consolidated and weaker on the 18z. I beleive that would be the peice that helps with the cold press as well as keeping the main low further south. My guess is it would end up warmer and further north on the 18z.
  12. Interesting member. I would be curious to see the storm setup for that member. The only way far western upstate (Oconee/Pickens) and NEGA can bullseye like that is with an intensifying storm that tracks too far West to give the 1-77 or I-95 corridors much, and tracks up the coast (Noreaster). Think Jan 96 or even March 93. Its probably the most unlikely scenario and yet it's bascially the only one that gives that area anything.
  13. Wow, amazing the difference b/w here and there.
  14. Fellas, I don't remember seeing the Ukie model mentioned a single time this year; do you guys ever look at it anymore?
  15. Wow at that upstate cutoff! Mostly elevation depedant there, but goes from 8 inches to absolutely nothing in like 15 miles.
  16. That would be Beautiful for me but even being inside a week it seems like fantasy. And I don't think I remember a GEM snowfall ever coming to fruition.
  17. For the 3rd year in a row, an incredibly wet start to the year. 1.67 in today and up to 9.2 in aleady IMBY. 6.56in at GSP.
  18. Put another way; CJ represents the weenie in us, KK represents the humble realist!
  19. Oh, warmnose just posted this. Now I feel better, at least now I can pretend there's a chance, even though it pure fantasy. Thaks warmnose!
  20. Is anyone seeing a single fantasy map show anything frozen for SC? I haven't seen a single one the past couple of days. Pretty bad when you can't even find fantasy snow in the heart of "winter."
  21. Already raining here at 45.5. I cant even get a close call.
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