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mrdaddyman

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Everything posted by mrdaddyman

  1. mrdaddyman
    From what I understand, the Hi Res Euro has 9 Km resolution. Doesn't sound like too much of a slouch to me.
  2. mrdaddyman
    In other words, if you live inside the dotted line, just flip a coin.
  3. mrdaddyman
  4. mrdaddyman
  5. mrdaddyman
    I think you're being generous for our area.
  6. mrdaddyman
  7. mrdaddyman
    00Z UKMET
  8. mrdaddyman
    Believe me, you don't want to see it. The track was further South but it's trip up the coast after that is not a good track for us.
  9. mrdaddyman
    I agree. I'm not buying the GEFS nor EPS means for Wake/Johnston area one bit. We will be looking at an inch of slop with heavy cold rain after that. I need to keep those maps to compare to on Monday. Seen it dozens of times before. Dearth of the -NAO the last few years makes it all dependent on timing in our area of NC so that the cold air and precip get here in unison. There's nothing to lock the cold air in and that doesn't work out 99% of the time for us. LP needs to track further SE. We are too far East for the CAD to save us.
  10. mrdaddyman
    Here we go again. 1/2" of snowfall on the Euro. Went down from 00Z run. More snow to the West this time. Last time it is was snow all around me. Unbelievable.
  11. mrdaddyman
    We have to have a strong HP to get the cold this far south that we need for a good snowfall but it is a double-edged sword as we have seen this winter. It's just ridiculously hard for everything to come together here just right for snow. Something usually screws it up.
  12. mrdaddyman
    You know, it's funny you said that. I was just thinking the same thing this afternoon. They all stinking fall apart as soon as they pass the mountains. Every . . . single . . . one of them. You know your winter's in trouble when you have to rely on a clipper to see snowfall in the first place but we can't even get one of those. On top of that, it seems to always snow to the North, South, East, and West of me over, and over, and over again.
  13. mrdaddyman
    We really need a good snowfall to fill in the snow holes around here. Folks, including me, are seriously grumpy right now.
  14. mrdaddyman
    Congrats to those of you that didn't have a thing forecast and ended up with half a foot. My snow shield almost prevented me from getting anything but I still ended up with 1/4" which didn't even cover everything. Going on my 4th winter now with less than an inch for the whole winter. Unbelievable. Snows North, South, East, and West of me and I'm beginning to wonder if it can actually snow here more than a dusting anymore. One more thing. I'm glad that those of you that whined all day about busting got your almost foot of snow. Please carry that crap to the banter thread next time.
  15. mrdaddyman
    12Z GGEM shows a big slop fest with ice to rain for the SE at day 10. I'm sure that will probably verify.
  16. mrdaddyman
    You know, I read this a lot on this board but therein lies the rub. If we have more cold air accompanied by a strong HP, it seems to push the moisture SE with it and we get a weak under-performing, unimpressive, strung out mess. Those of us that live in central NC can't seem to win either way. I remember the big snows around here when I was young but it seems like the last several years we can't even buy one.
  17. mrdaddyman
    Yeah. We're close enough to the storm that it's time to start looking closer at the higher resolution models.
  18. mrdaddyman
    What model is this?
  19. mrdaddyman
    Does anyone know whether the "Snow Depth" output or the "Kuchera" output on the model maps is more accurate? It's very confusing because the Snow Depth output is often more than the "Kuchera" output for the same time period. Are they just 2 separate methods that are calculated differently or are they supposed to be related somehow? Any ideas from you veterans?
  20. mrdaddyman
    If the JMA is right my neighbor Cold Rain and I will be watching a cold rain. That's not a good track for central NC. Too close to the coast.
  21. mrdaddyman
    Everybody just loves to trash the NAM but it is excellent with sniffing out a warm nose. It hasn't missed one yet in the last 5+ years for MBY. Don't discount it. That would be very unwise.
  22. mrdaddyman
    So did the warm air.
  23. mrdaddyman
    It's really hard to beat climo but hopefully the NAM is overly amped up.
  24. mrdaddyman
    I'm going to have to quit looking at Twitter for a while. Every time I look at it someone in the NE is posting about the 15 snowstorms they're going to get the next 2 weeks.
  25. mrdaddyman
    GFS shows a second snowstorm next week for . . . the MA/NE. Congratulations on your 2 feet of snow with those storms while most of our forum sits here with less than an inch for the whole winter. I can already hear JB crowing about how he got his winter forecast right.
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