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Harry Perry

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Everything posted by Harry Perry

  1. Harry Perry
    Love to see it.
  2. Harry Perry
    Warm front is just not going to make it up here. Looks to stay south of the border now. Couldn’t have been the diarrhetic rain we had for 12 hours straight. It just wouldn’t stop. Pretty ominous looking for the Ft. Wayne region though.
  3. Harry Perry
    Lots of clearing beginning to break out. Warm front surging northward. Up 8° in the last hour. Wish it were 10am though.
  4. Harry Perry
    Impressive gradient, nearly 30° temp. difference along the warm front.
  5. Harry Perry
    This. Just going to be too little too late most likely, but hodographs look nasty from you to Detroit and south this evening. The ONLY thing we are missing is surface cape. Looks like we might squeeze 4-500 j/kg but probably not enough, if a storm does go up though, it could be a doozy. SPC will probably hang onto the ENH up here for that reasoning. Edit* ENH adjusted south of the state lines.
  6. Harry Perry
    Most likely yes for both of us. We might get a local threat but nothing widespread by the looks of things.
  7. Harry Perry
    Really not thinking there’s a chance in my neck of the woods. Regenerating showers overhead just north of the front is going to keep it from pushing far enough north before the next round in Illinois is here. Not saying it can’t happen, but atmospheric recovery is pretty much out of the cards in Michigan. South of the borders should be interesting though.
  8. Harry Perry
    Back to western ridge and eastern trough for a while though. Looking ahead will be good though when the jet buckles, plenty of cold air to the north and subtropical air from the Gulf. Ultimately I believe this will be a pretty significant severe weather season for the midwest and into the Great Lakes region - similar to 2011/12 with lots of above average temps mixed in.
  9. Harry Perry
    I’m willing to bet the dust is helping create the lightning without a doubt.
  10. Harry Perry
    HRRR has a bit more moisture to work with. Looks less cluttered and more defined. This one could creep up on us if a little more moisture is realized.
  11. Harry Perry
    I remember that! Would have to change it to channel 9 (used to be our local weather radar channel with noaa weather radio playing in the background) to see what was coming lol. I believe that carried on into the 90’s for a while. I remember the screen red with scrolling text from the NWS on tornado warnings and I think severe thunderstorm warnings as well.
  12. Harry Perry
    There is a site dedicated to the old style (90’s) Weather Channel local on the 8’s. Weather Star 4000 I believe. Click the link, put in your zip and enjoy the 90’s anytime you want. https://weatherstar.netbymatt.com I want to say I remember there was a latter version from the early to mid 2000’s that did the same but can’t find it.
  13. Harry Perry
    Man, you just awoken the inner 10 year old in me. The big snowflake vs. two little ones from the 90’s. Then later on, early 2000’s, the 3/4 row of snowflakes for heavy snow. The dual lightning bolts for “strong” storms… How times have changed. The good ole days.
  14. Harry Perry
    This is no time for romance.
  15. Harry Perry
    I see there was a video posted this morning, pretty surreal to see. Pilot (or officer) waiting for that Delta flight to land was also taking a video of it, likely because of the intense crosswind and complete whiteout on the ground. I think Fox had it on Facebook. Nothing short of a miracle that they all managed to ultimately walk away, from a crash AND fireball. Pretty wild.
  16. Harry Perry
    Really “squaring in” on the suck zone for this winter.
  17. Harry Perry
    Tomato or tomato. Convective blocking downstream played part in moisture transport issues further north which ultimately changed the way the trough was evolving. Not saying your wrong, just saying it wasn’t just a janky h5 evolution.
  18. Harry Perry
    Very true and how most of us should look at it. Atleast we all have some snow on the ground, finally. And like Powerball said, we’re just stuck in the crappy couple year period… it’ll all come full circle. .
  19. Harry Perry
    About the same here.
  20. Harry Perry
    Truly one of the most difficult storms systems to forecast in recent memory. And the models? Pfft…. All risk, no reward.
  21. Harry Perry
  22. Harry Perry
    To be fair, the hostility is acceptable given the circumstances. Two (three?) storm systems with northern/southern stream energy in the neighborhood, all within a week… before more suppression, and it all went to hell at the last minute to boot. Plenty to be irritated about, but what can you do.
  23. Harry Perry
    As well as the 18z RGEM.
  24. Harry Perry
    I was just thinking about this as well. We’re getting old.
  25. Harry Perry
    I believe it has some effect as to why the models are struggling with the cold sector precipitation.
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