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RTPGiants

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Everything posted by RTPGiants

  1. RTPGiants
    Just barely see a few flakes in the air in South Durham. 29 degrees.
  2. RTPGiants
    I'd trade all of this storm for the fantasy GFS storm next weekend.
  3. RTPGiants
    Still 44 here in South Durham.
  4. RTPGiants
    Currently 46 in south Durham. Peaked at about 47 an hour or so ago. We'll see from here.
  5. RTPGiants
    I recall about a year ago someone put up verification scores of GFS and despite everyone discounting the 18Z it turned out they were all about equal. So data ingestion aside, I'm not sure it's a good reason to just discard a run because it's a mid-run.
  6. RTPGiants
    You're right, I was looking at 00z still. Definitely better on most recent.
  7. RTPGiants
    Not for our area. It's cold chasing moisture. Basically rain for 12 hours and then hope the cold gets here. That never works out.
  8. RTPGiants
    Still sleet in South Durham. No buildup on signs or trees or anything. 30 degrees though.
  9. RTPGiants
    Sleet still here in South Durham (near Southpoint). 28 degrees.
  10. RTPGiants
    Never bet against 34 and raining in this area.
  11. RTPGiants
    NVM, I was looking at wrong location apparently...Well that would be something if it verified.
  12. RTPGiants
    Where are you seeing SREF plumes like that? I see <1?
  13. RTPGiants
    3K looks much more reasonable
  14. RTPGiants
    It's not really the location that I'm suspicious about. I'm sure it'll be off one way or another there, but NAM is spitting out like 1.5 inches of QPF over spots. No way....
  15. RTPGiants
    Yeah, but no other real support
  16. RTPGiants
    Go home NAM, you're drunk. Basically it keeps some sort of band over east central NC for hours...
  17. RTPGiants
    Backside hit is back on FV3
  18. RTPGiants
    The thing is, it pays for TV mets to be conservative. In our area things will be conservative say 90% of the time. So if you call low 100% of the time, you'll be right 90% of the time. The other 10% of the time you'll be forgiven. If you call high one time when it's not there, people will always remember that. Fishel gets to hang his hat on the 2000 storm where he was basically the only one to get it right, but late in his career (arguably) it's easy to just take the conservative road and be right most of the time. That's not really a criticism per se, it's just a way to maintain a steady state.
  19. RTPGiants
    Basically rain tomorrow afternoon through the night. A small pocket of snow from 2 AM until maybe noon, then back to rain. And that's that. Said temps to the north are too warm to worry him.
  20. RTPGiants
    WRAL is basically Cold Rain and wildremann wrapped into one. Not buying any guidance.
  21. RTPGiants
    Looks more like the 12z than the 18z early
  22. RTPGiants
    Congrats to those in the West. For those of us in the Central areas...time to find some firewood...
  23. RTPGiants
    Clown map on NAM is ridiculous...if we could somehow manage to keep it a degree cooler.
  24. RTPGiants
    People are going to like this run I think. Onset is later, but temps seem way better, and there's plenty of moisture being pulled in with a high right to the north. Seems like it might be a weenie FV-3 type run...
  25. RTPGiants
    Yeah NAM is slower with the SLP and has a better high modeled. I think timing wise this takes it closer to the globals though, right?
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