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Everything posted by fountainguy97
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Straight from summer to winter. Chasing flurries on the peaks tomorrow evening. PS: me and my friend got a commercial license of weatherbell to use on our weather page. So I'll have plenty of them coming your way this winter- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Erwin update. Our church is the main distribution hub sending supplies into NC. We are rolling non-stop. It's going out as fast as it comes in.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is a mass casualty event here in Erwin. 39 people missing. Not a single found. No telling how many others unaccounted for. We have people calling/asking if we have seen people. Reports of bodies being found in trees... The police department estimate water rose over 30ft. There are caskets laying around the river.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Jackson Love was still up as night fell. Of course that doesn't tell the whole story but theoretically there is a route down I-26 and detour down Jackson Love through town and back to I-26. thankfully the I-26 bridge is not on the south side of exit 40. I have some jaw dropping footage over that bridge from lunchtime.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
We are all good here. Well away from any water thankfully. I-26 has just confirmed to be collapsed at exit 40... and I think it'll be much more washed out than it is now. kind of shocked... can't believe this is happening here. We are a small community. This type of event is something that alters the course of our entire economy and way of life..- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
One of my favorite things about tropical systems is the nice cool/dry air that often chases behind them.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
My best winters here so far have been weak/mid Nina's. So honestly I'm not super negative on this winter. The last two have been mostly nothing burgers for the mountains. I haven't taken a peak at winter yet. I feel like the last few winters we haven't gotten the pacific to work with us at all. The last two winters have been mostly -PNA with shots of +pna. And a dominate -PDO for years now.- 689 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's amazing how fast we can go from wet to dry. We had such a wet start to summer here but after a few weeks of no rain and this heat my grass is crispy. My family in East NC are saying crops are not doing well and the corn crop is close to collapse. Don't really see much relief in the next week or two besides isolated storms. Maybe one of these fronts on the GFS will bring some widespread rain.- 689 replies
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March/ Spring mid-long range
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Currently 72/54 and one of the best feeling afternoons of the year today. Beautiful. -
March/ Spring mid-long range
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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February 2024 mid/ long range
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah I've been tuned out since shortly after the January snow week. Some winters it just wants to snow and every system just works out. Others are like this and we have 3+ systems scoot south and whiff everyone. Tough draw of the cards this winter. Early season bushes/trees have buds here. It was very warm but has been colder recently especially the mornings. Just need a few good days in the low 60s and spring has sprung!- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Winter 23-24' Wx Observations Thread
fountainguy97 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
A cool 27 this morning but the song birds are out in full force today around here. Sounds like spring. These days in the 50s are perfection this time of year. I'm not complaining. -
February 2024 mid/ long range
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Phew those Carolina boys are flirting with a big event if that NE energy can phase in a few hours faster. euro extended looks fabulous. I'd almost bet on it at this point. We are repeating the December/january pattern but MJO should be better I believe. Just like the January event models were hinting at this pattern change earlier in February and have pushed it back a couple weeks. Classic occurrence for a legit change in the weather for the US as a whole. Look at the book-end storms of this upcoming pattern for potential big hitters into mid-late February.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Definitely a feast or famine setup. The ceiling is astronomically high though!- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
fountainguy97 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
A very cool setup this weekend in regards to backside NW precip. Temps are marginal which stinks but the hrrr and NAM both rotate the decaying low pressure into our region as the coastal takes over. the hrrr is super aggressive with that decaying low spinning over us. Mountains that are cold enough are going to rack up some nice totals I suspect.- 1,263 replies
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13.8 here with steady light snow falling. Moderate at times. The DGZ is only a few hundred feet above us at this point so radar is useless in determining precipitation. Pretty amazing event! Totals not particularly heavy but a pretty awesome end to the wintry week. blowing snow really reduces visibility at times here.
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Temp 30.7 and falling. Got a glaze and coating of sleet/snow overnight. NW regime kicking into high gear now. Snow and roads are covered instantly.
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Huh? That is so conservative for snow. They cut my totals in half.. Only 1-2" for mby with 20+ hrs of NW flow on the way? Feel pretty confident I'm good for 3-4 with this setup. We will see. 33.8 here DP 30.6. This is the coldest 33 I've ever felt I think haha.
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Down to 36.5 from 37.5. Clouds moving in saving our melting snow. I'm interested in the cold push tonight. RGEM is significantly colder for NETN (especially my locale) than hrrr at 10pm. Considering hrrr was horrendous with temps earlier this week I'll go with the colder.
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I'm digging this weekend for my backyard. Single digits and NW powder. Sounds like a good time!
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Unlike the last event with the DGZ 11,000ft up the DGZ may actually be just a few hundred off the surface. Absurd NW soundings on the gfs. I can get behind this one
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
18 and high ratio snow here. Nice finale to the event! Roads covered again