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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Kevin Reilly
    Not at all lol a little surprised that the Gfs was the worst. My expectations were met I saw it snowing for 20 minutes.
  2. Kevin Reilly
    I just want to say the models with this were pathetic!!! All rain here until the first wet flakes mixed in at 8:30 am it snowed here for about half hour. We have zero here in Media Delaware County cloudy breezy 35
  3. Kevin Reilly
    34 all rain in Media quite the temp swing today pressure 29.60 suddenly. Winds really picking up. Is there a high wind watch advisory or warning in place?
  4. Kevin Reilly
    measured 2.2" in Media before the sleet mixed in. currently 31 all ZR.
  5. Kevin Reilly
    Mod to heavy snow Media 26 1.6”
  6. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County 16 dewpoint 3 wind NE 4 Buddy in Cape Coral Florida heavy thunderstorms tornadoes last hour winds to 60 mph pressure was 29.67 falling when the line was approaching picked up 1.47 in a little over an hour.
  7. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County PA Crystal Clear 12/-6
  8. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County PA Crystal Clear 12/-6
  9. Kevin Reilly
    Not enough blocking to our northeast.
  10. Kevin Reilly
    I’ve seen that happen before.
  11. Kevin Reilly
    Double Barrell Low Look? Maybe causing model confusion with surface lows?
  12. Kevin Reilly
    Must be convective feedback issues.
  13. Kevin Reilly
    Looks like the 1980s to me
  14. Kevin Reilly
    I’ll go Jacksonville to Bermuda Euro too
  15. Kevin Reilly
    Remember always go with and post the least snow solution! Yes go with 1-2” of snow followed by 1-2” of rain Thunder and temps rising into the mid to upper 40s then crash back down to 20 typical storm DCA Balt to PHL NYC
  16. Kevin Reilly
    Next Tomorrow NOAA will say they dropped the remaining 42 weather balloons in the eastern Pacific so modeling will become more reliable going forward our bad on the 0z model suite throw them out real deal starts at 12z runs Wednesday.
  17. Kevin Reilly
    You forgot the CRAS model!
  18. Kevin Reilly
    That’s hilarious in an hour it will be Cincy to Cleveland and then they will say someone is going to get clobbered in the east! Can’t go wrong.
  19. Kevin Reilly
    It’s got the right idea! This track makes more sense with the development and upstream block
  20. Kevin Reilly
    Yep storm development too Far East to me would be the biggest worries you cannot go wrong with the lined up telleconnectors and MJO entering into phase 8. Location Location Location
  21. Kevin Reilly
    Zippo here the middle finger is setting up along 95
  22. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County Cloudy 32 humidity 52% dewpoint 17
  23. Kevin Reilly
    News is good with creating fear and ratings.
  24. Kevin Reilly
    The only problem the GFS is not to be trusted it never usually nails down the finer details of subsidence like the other higher resolution models. The GFS just smooths everything out to give everyone a general 4-5" I do not see that happening. My bar is 2-3" most areas with someone getting ripped off in SE pa and only getting 1 to maybe 2".
  25. Kevin Reilly
    I am skeptical of this. I am sure there will be an area of subsidence somewhere between NE Md, SE PA, along the Delaware River, SW NJ
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