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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County rain sleet 34 dewpoint 34 winds NNW 20-30 Sleet starting to accumulate on the cars ice sliding down the windshield
  2. Kevin Reilly
    Media all sleet here 35 dewpoint 34 winds NNW 20-35
  3. Kevin Reilly
    Media rain sleet mixing in now 37 dewpoint 36 winds NNW 20-35 mph
  4. Kevin Reilly
    Media moderate rain 43 dewpoint 42 strong gusty NNW winds to 36 here it comes
  5. Kevin Reilly
    Media 45 light rain dewpoint 44 looks like winds veering around to the NNE 10-15
  6. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County temp drop 70 to 56 in 12 minutes winds 45-55 easy lots and lots of power flashes no lighting brief downpour maybe lasted 7 minutes. Winds still busy out of the NW 20-40 mph. The power flickered once.
  7. Kevin Reilly
    Looks to me we will have minimal problems for the following reason in Delaware County: 1. heavy rates not allowing for ice accretion. 2. relative warmth from past days. 3. temps think needed to get lower we are currently at 29 it was 28. 4. temps will slowly rise overnight. 5. Warm air aloft in heavier rates will eventually mix down to the surface further aiding in temp rises.
  8. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County heavy rain 28 it’s raining so hard that there is no ice accretion just running off
  9. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County Cloudy 33 dewpoint 17 wind NNE 13
  10. Kevin Reilly
    All about wind vectors, density push of cold to the north southbound , oh and sun angle makes an impact at around 9:30 am onward to about 3:30 pm. Warm ground surfaces will also impact I’d think especially the closer to metro areas and 95 you go.
  11. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County 38 dewpoint 22 wind NNW 16
  12. Kevin Reilly
    I think this is exactly what I’m thinking along 95 sleet freezing rain minimal switching over to rain. I’ve seen this song and dance before after record breaking challenging warmth. Think 95 areas up to 15 miles west of it in southeastern pa is okay. This has 31-35 rain written all over it just north and west of 95 with very little ice accretion.
  13. Kevin Reilly
    I think for the southern zones south and east of a line Pottstown to Doylestown back to York this is much more realistic of what to expect. I-95 south and east not much if anything just north and west of 95 very minor north and west of West Chester to Plymouth Meeting to say Bristol to Trenton the problems begin. Lancaster to Reading to Allentown points north yikes.
  14. Kevin Reilly
    Probably sleet
  15. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County 32 very light snow. 2.2” mainly on the grass exactly what I’d thought this would be like nothing on cement or paved a few coatings here and there otherwise just wet elevation 335 feet.
  16. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County SE pa light snow 39 dewpoint 21
  17. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County light snow 39 dewpoint 21 snow pellets accumulating on the car now. Paved getting wet.
  18. Kevin Reilly
    I think the Gfs is too far southeast push that 35 miles NW
  19. Kevin Reilly
    Looks like the band keeps edging further NW away from 95 which makes more sense getting away from the river and closer to the fall line. Elevation is going to play a role here with the lower levels especially early on in the event.
  20. Kevin Reilly
    Nam has me at 45 right now but I have 40 dewpoint 21 it’s dropping here in SE PA stiff NNE wind too
  21. Kevin Reilly
    Media Delaware County 48 dewpoint 26
  22. Kevin Reilly
    So an 8%-12% chance of picking up something significant I'll take that and run!
  23. Kevin Reilly
    I like the orientation and definitely further NW guess that all sinks southeast in time and intensifies dumping 4-8” with temps in the mid to upper 20’s! Okay wait I’m awake now from the dream it’s the winter of 21-22
  24. Kevin Reilly
    Why not it’s Miller Time!
  25. Kevin Reilly
    Lots of agreement
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