Kevin Reilly

What are the correlations of 0 August activity when it comes to La Nina or El Nino years? Is it possible we are in a weak to moderate El Nino year? I mean aren't La Nina years very active typically. To my untrained eye it appears that we are in more El Nino set up with all the upper air lows, shear caused by them, and dry Saharan dust. I have also been hearing about a Triple La Nina? Never heard of this? What affect does that have on this whole situation. Also, the super active eastern Pacific has fueled the idea of an east based El Nino to me. Thoughts?

NBC 10 has the ocean temp at ACY at 83???? Is that correct anyone confirm that?

Yep, agree think the development region area to focus on will be as it gets Puerto Rico Points west long way to go but we are closing in on nothing for August as the days dwindle away. There is also a string of upper air lows to contend with too as it heads westbound it's a real wait and see.

This is the upper air support for the offshore storm that is currently developing and waiting for the energy in the Carolinas to crank the low off the east coast.

That system off the East Coast early next week is more of mid latitude storm like a winter pattern doubt that becomes tropical and the 18z models have really backed off on that moving it further south and more of an ENE trajectory more out to sea from the Carolina coast. The models have been handling this very poorly at this time.

I am down in Orlando Florida had a lot of Saharan Dust here today milky fuzzy clouds and all skies were brown / orange this morning. Any thunderstorms were choked off. Looks like cooler up there temps near 80 and then a fairly wet patten showing up with an upper level low and surface low pressure developing in the Delmarva looks like a winter pattern within a weak El Nino. I will be back August 16th looks like the rain is August 13th at night to the 16th on and off, but it looked fairly significant.

I am in Orlando Florida and the Saharan Dust is well entrenched here. The skies were actually hazy brown there especially in the morning. During the afternoon the skies were milky, and the clouds were fuzzy looking. We had a few showers here today, but the towers were clearly being choked off from the Saharan Dust today. I am heading up to Charleston SC on Sunday by then the Sarhan dust will be punched Southeast ward by the cold front coming down crazy August cold front going to make it to Floriday by Sunday.

Media Delaware County picked up .50" of rain overnight some light drizzle mist falling still 69f

There has to be something wrong with my weather station here in Media Delaware County. I had a dewpoint of 61 now it's 60. There cannot be that much a of a difference?

Great pics! I can just feel the cold winds blowing over the top of those breaking waves!

We got it all right. 0.67" 40-45 mph winds easy and lightning.

Not a dam thing here in Media. It is really really dry down here in Delaware County. Here is my consolation prize I can see the anvil from the storm to our north in Bucks County. Sun has been out all day and is out full blast as we speak 87f humidity 50%

So, that would be August 28th chances are during that date over the past 25 years there has been a major hurricane in the Atlantic somewhere. I mean August 25th, 2005, there was Katrina just to name a few.

Water restrictions are already posted for areas around Trenton. This is a very dusty pattern and the hope of a tropical storm of any sort is very LOW zero support in this pattern for that unfortunately.

This reminds me of July 1988 that was pretty dry too.

Currently 81 here in Media with 52% humidity at 11:13 pm.

I am looking at the water vapor map over the past 4 hours and now the visible satellite looks like there could be a weak system in the eastern Turks and Caicos Islands. Looks like it is right under a high-pressure system as all air is evacuating in all sectors. Looks like a bit of southerly shear and a fair amount of dry air to its north and northwest, but it appears the dry air is lifting northeaster ward. Guess this could be something to keep an eye on. Pennsylvania Satellite Weather Map | AccuWeather

The best part is how they say how hot and humid it is. Just an FYI the humidity in Media, Delaware County was in the 22% to 33% range hardly humid it's like a desert out there.

I am looking at the water vapor map over the past 4 hours and now the visible satellite looks like there could be a weak system in the eastern Turks and Caicos Islands. Looks like it is right under a high-pressure system as all air is evacuating in all sectors. Looks like a bit of southerly shear and a fair amount of dry air to its north and northwest, but it appears the dry air is lifting northeaster ward. Guess this could be something to keep an eye on. Pennsylvania Satellite Weather Map | AccuWeather

Media 40 rain with sleet mixed in again I’m very surprised

Media moderate to heavy wind swept snow 31 dewpoint 30 winds NNE 20-40 all surfaces caved trees loading up

Media all snow mainly still a little sleet now light though a few fatties glide through every once in a while 32 dewpoint 31 starting to accumulate on grass

Media Delaware County moderate sleet and snow 32 dewpoint 32 N winds 25-35 cars roof tops just starting to cave

Media Delaware County all sleet accumulating sleet 32 dewpoint 32 winds NNE 20-40 mph

Media Delaware County rain sleet 34 dewpoint 33 winds NNW 20-30 Sleet starting to accumulate on the cars ice sliding down the windshield