Kevin Reilly

79f DP 74f low last night was 76f. Looks like we have a bit of activity coming in from the west moving due east hoping it stay together to give the garden a drink a bit we shall see. It does appear that it is weakening quite a bit.

Clearly looks like there was definite weakening also due to the proximity to the land mass of Jamaica. Last hour looking at the water vapor map there is a blow up on the southeast side where there was pretty much nothing just a bit ago. It will be interesting to see how Beryl fairs as it moves away from Jamaica. Grand Cayman outside of any shear and or dry air will have zero impact on Beryl.

The uplift on the mountains in the central and western part of Jamaica must be incredible right now. I know the mountains are further from the coast, but this has to have some effect on the overall circulation and structure inflow and outflow from the center to some degree. The flooding in the mountains is very likely really bad to catastrophic currently.

I will say that the center is definitely close enough for the circulation center to be disrupted by the high mountains of Jamaica.

Especially if it is moving as fast as it is right now.

Probably double that at least with upsloping over the mountains of Jamaica with a strong flow around the hurricane the lift will be insane especially if it slows down at all.

I would say looking at the shear ahead and the movement at a brisk 23 mph even at the Category 5 strength that Beryl has been at it will weaken fairly rapidly. Liken it to blowing a candle out. How quickly or slowly will certainly determine the impacts to both Jamica and the very vulnerable Grand Cayman. All interests in Jamica, Grand Cayman, and Play Del Carmen along with both Cozumel and Cancún in Mexico (all these areas big vacation and cruise areas) along with the Western Gulf Coast Mexico up to Louisiana need to monitor the future movements of Beryl.

pretty much done here just missing to my SSW and moving SE I would suspect this is pretty much the front moving on through going to end with 2.05" over past 24 hours perfect!

Dark again moderate rain with thunder 72f humidity 97% dewpoint 71

Partly sunny now thunder overhead and to the east and southeast a few drops of rain still picked up 1.33 during that batch. 0.67" last night plus our 1.33" we have 2.00" on the nose currently 71f humidity 96% dewpoint 70. Looks like a little line in Chester County developing and pushing east southeast. Should be interesting to see how that progresses. No damage or power loss here.

I am still waiting for it to end but skies clearly brightening off to the west and northwest.

Flooding rains booming thunder winds gusting to 40 mph with some pea size hail. Well over an inch of rain for sure totals coming after the storm passes 70f dewpoint 69f down from 86f dewpoint 78f feeling like 103f

Sunny 86 feels like 105 here humidity 89% dew point 78 crazy. I see big, towering white thunderheads due north.

Cloudy here in Media sun looks like it's trying to burn through these low-level clouds though. 81 feels like 88 humidity 97% dewpoint 76f. Total rainfall here so far since last night .70"

picked up 0.62" rain barrel filled. 74f humidity 98% dewpoint 74f. I see fish row down there in Sea Isle has flooding going on pretty serious area of training Thunderstorms. Paul....

Light rain trace so far. 78f humidity 82% radar to the west looking promising for a .35" or more please!!

Here you go Dailylurker: This morning, we wake up to more dry weather complete with very low humidity and low dew points. The new normal around here over the past 20-30 years has been to take a period of abnormally dry and very very quickly replace it with very very wet. Today's 6z GFS hints at this possibility as we head into the first 10 days of July. It is fitting around Southeastern Pennsylvania to end a dry drought like with flooding rains. I am going to put this possibility out there on today, Friday, June 28th. July 7th: GFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits July 10th: GFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits I think someone said yesterday, next we look for the drought busting tropical system it may not be far off base actually with a stalled boundary. We shall see!

This morning, we wake up to more dry weather complete with very low humidity and low dew points. The new normal around here over the past 20-30 years has been to take a period of abnormally dry and very very quickly replace it with very very wet. Today's 6z GFS hints at this possibility as we head into the first 10 days of July. It is fitting around Southeastern Pennsylvania to end a dry drought like with flooding rains. I am going to put this possibility out there on today, Friday, June 28th. July 7th: GFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits July 10th: GFS Model – MSLP & Precip (Rain/Frozen) for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits I think someone said yesterday, next we look for the drought busting tropical system it may not be far off base actually with a stalled boundary. We shall see!

67f here with brilliant blue skies north and west with a solid deck of white cirrus overhead and all point south and east. Picked up 0.09" 11:45 pm to 1:00 am last night early this morning.... Awful. Rain prospects look terrible going forward too. Now we go lower to middle 80's a 90 degree day sandwiched in as well with lower dewpoints and humidity levels in the 20-30% range.

Had plenty of lightning and some thunder from the storms that are currently over Flourtown about 25 minutes ago we got nothing from that as it missed us by about 5 miles. We were at 84f with a heat index of 87 wind was absolutely dead with plenty of latent heat now we sit at 80f with a heat index of 84f humidity is 63%... Wind is NW now a outflow boundary from the storms passing north of us moving away to the NE. Hoping and waiting for the heavy rain near Harrisburg and developing in the SE corner of Lancaster County need rain badly. Looks like there is a small mesoscale low east of State College so maybe that helps push everything east without weakening it down to nothing time will tell, but if it is coming it should be here by midnight.

Picked up 0.17" yesterday power went out for about 2 minutes and windy with the thunderstorms, but we need a lot more than that it didn't even fill my rain barrel halfway. I was in Cinnaminson yesterday they got hit pretty good along Route 130 I would say winds 45-50 and picked up a quick .35-.50 or so.

highest here so far is 95f with a heat index of 101f. We have a bit of an issue too for sure with lack of rain really nothing coming either.

Yep, this is pretty much done. Northerly shear coming down from the upper air low to the north also dry air moving south-southwest quickly.

Yea this has really caught my eye. Looks pretty good on the visible satellite you can clearly see a circulation. Looks like thunderstorms are trying to blow up on the west and northwest side of this circulation. If these storms can wrap around that center this will likely become Tropical Storm Beryl. I was looking at water vapor and it has a decent moisture envelope with it dry air shouldn't be a problem shear for now looks okay. Florida Satellite Weather Map | AccuWeather

That has got to be the broadest circulation I have ever seen in my lifetime. Looks like there may be just a bit of southerly shear just to the west of the center. This has a limited chance to develop into anything much larger than a 45-mph tropical storm. However, weather affects will be far removed from the center especially on the north and northwest side.